https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3992585

Radical Climate Adaptation in Antarctica

Charles R. Corbett, Edward (Ted) A. Parson

Abstract

As the climate crisis intensifies, there is growing interest in policies
that might supplement emissions reduction and adaptation, such as carbon
removal systems and solar radiation modification. One newly prominent class
of proposed interventions, which we call radical adaptation, would aim to
stabilize Antarctic ice sheets, the loss of which threatens significant
sea-level rise worldwide. Ice-sheet stabilization does not fit neatly
within the conventional taxonomy of climate responses. Like adaptation, it
would target the consequences of climate change, not the causes. But it
would do so through spatially concentrated, high-leverage developments to
reduce harms worldwide, rather than by separate actions in thousands of
threatened coastal regions. These interventions further would have to be
researched, assessed, and executed in the unique geopolitical, legal, and
administrative context of Antarctica.

This Article examines how radical adaptation might interact with the
governance and geopolitics of the Antarctic Treaty System. It argues that
early research into ice-sheet stabilization could readily proceed under the
present system. Operational deployment would require substantial governance
changes, but these may be less extreme than they initially appear and may
even benefit Antarctic governance more broadly. Researching and developing
ice-sheet stabilization could provide an avenue to sustain the System’s
core values of peace, science, and environmental protection, while also
strengthening its global legitimacy. The governance challenges under the
Antarctic Treaty System are substantial, but they are ultimately
surmountable.

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