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https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-3490826/v1

*Authors*
Tianle Yuan, Hua Song, Lazaros Oreopoulos, Robert Wood, Huisheng Bian,
Katherine Breen, Mian Chin, Hongbin Yu, Donifan Barahona, Kerry Meyer,
Steven Platnick

*29 October 2023*

https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3490826/v1

Abstract

Human activities affect the Earth’s climate through modifying the
composition of the atmosphere, which then creates radiative forcing that
drives climate change 1. The warming effect of anthropogenic greenhouse
gases has been partially balanced by the cooling effect of anthropogenic
aerosols 2. In 2020, fuel regulations abruptly reduced the emission of
sulfur dioxide from international shipping by more than 80%3 and created an
inadvertent geoengineering experiment4,5 with global scale. Here we show
the regulation leads to a radiative forcing of 0.12 Wm-2 averaged over the
global ocean using a combination of modeling and satellite data. The
forcing is estimated to effectively double the warming rate of global mean
temperature in this decade with strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity. The
warming effect contributes 50% to the measured increase in planetary heat
uptake since 2020. The radiative forcing also has strong hemispheric
contrast of 0.12 Wm-2 and contributes to the measured hemispheric contrast
in absorbed solar radiation, which has important implications for
precipitation patterns. Our result suggests marine cloud brightening may be
a viable geoengineering method in temporarily cooling the climate.

*Source: Research Square*

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