https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_graddiss/12319/

*Authors*
Hannah J. Rubin

*Abstract*
Anthropogenic climate change is the greatest threat our world faces.
Because the impacts of climate change are linked to location, mapping is a
meaningful way to convey results. I map 3 different phenomena and
investigate methodological improvements and the associated uncertainty of
acid deposition, heat waves, and soil organic carbon. My research on acid
deposition updates the 2010 global budget for reactive nitrogen and sulfur
components, improving the results of models from the second phase of the
United Nation’s Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution
(HTAP-II). My analysis is a step towards the World Meteorological
Organization’s goal of global products for mapping harmful air pollution.
Acid deposition is also relevant to the future climate; one potential
response to climate change is stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), where
sulfur dioxide is injected into the stratosphere to block incoming solar
radiation. I use outputs from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison
Project (GeoMIP) to track sulfur deposition from SAI through comparison
with historical climate and two future Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
(SSPs). My research emphasizes the lack of agreement between models and the
importance of resolving these conflicts. The most common and recognizable
climate change indicators are those related to temperature. However, most
studies rely on a single dynamically downscaled model or an ensemble of
statistically downscaled models. My work evaluates future heat wave risk in
the US with an ensemble of dynamically downscaled models and an ensemble of
statistically downscaled models. My results emphasize the importance of
state-of-the-science modeling techniques for fine-resolution,
domain-specific climate projections. In order to mitigate climate change,
decarbonizing many industries will need to be a priority. A requirement of
this work is an understanding of baseline soil organic carbon (SOC), before
it is modified. My research focuses on SOC in the US from the 1980s to the
present day. I incorporate satellite imagery, climatic and land use
variables, and apply machine learning methods to produce high resolution,
temporally and spatially continuous maps. Overall, my research aims to
elucidate the human and environmental costs of climate change and bring
clarity to complex, multidimensional data through mapping techniques and
thorough analysis.

*Recommended Citation*
Rubin, Hannah J., "Mapping Global Environmental Change Under Current
Conditions and Projected Future Climate Scenarios with Machine Learning. "
PhD diss., University of Tennessee, 2025.
https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_graddiss/12319

*Source: TRACE*

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