https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025AV001732

*Authors*
Mark James Hopwood, Sascha Schiøtt, Hilde Oliver

First published: *19 August 2025*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001732

*Abstract*
Numerous proposed geoengineering schemes to mitigate climate change and its
consequences are now widely discussed in the scientific literature. Sea
level rise is a clear example of the implications of climate change with a
further committed rise of at least 2–3 m embedded within the Earth System
from +1.5°C of global warming. A bold suggestion to reduce sea level rise
is to install underwater barriers to reduce the inflow of oceanic heat
around Antarctica and Greenland. Inflow of warm, saline water masses drives
ice melt and the destabilization of tidewater glaciers. Whilst the basic
theory that barriers would stem oceanic heat flow is uncontroversial, the
extent to which barriers might reduce future ice mass loss is less certain.
There are numerous concerns about the viability and side-effects of this
proposed intervention. We use existing field observations and
representative fjord-scale models for the Greenland's largest glacier,
Sermeq Kujalleq in the Ilulissat Icefjord, to suggest that there is already
sufficient evidence to conclude that artificial barrier installation would
have negative regional implications for marine productivity. The effects on
fisheries are a concern as negative implications for Greenland's regional
fisheries are unlikely to be socially acceptable. Increasing
“geoengineeringization” of the Earth Sciences is likely to continue in
coming decades as society grapples with the challenges of slowing climate
change and mitigating its consequences. To produce beneficial results, the
technical and social viabilities of geoengineering concepts need to be
considered in parallel, with the latter determined in a complex social,
economic and cultural nexus.

*Plain Language Summary*
Around Antarctica and Greenland, the melting of marine-terminating glaciers
and ice shelves is often driven by heat from the inflow of warm seawater.
This is leading to the destabilization of ice and driving faster rates of
global sea level rise. A widely discussed geoengineering concept is that
the construction of artificial underwater barriers at strategic locations
could be used to reduce the inflow of warm saline waters and possibly help
stabilize sensitive ice sheet outflows into the ocean. This would
theoretically reduce future sea level rise, although there are presently
large uncertainties predicting to what extent ice melt would be reduced.
Apart from the numerous engineering challenges in any such polar
geoengineering scheme, there are critical concerns about the resulting
side-effects. In a case study for Greenland's largest marine-terminating
glacier, we use a combination of model results, field observations, and
local knowledge to suggest that artificial barriers would negatively affect
marine productivity. Negative impacts on fisheries raise critical questions
about the social viability of any such scheme which need to be considered
in parallel with, rather than after, the technical viability of barrier
installation and function.

*Key Points*

Proposed geoengineering schemes to mitigate sea level rise include
artificial sills/curtains to restrict flow of warm water toward glaciers

Field observations and representative models for Ilulissat Icefjord suggest
this would likely have negative effects on regional fisheries

The social implications of geoengineering concepts for stakeholders need to
be considered in parallel with the technical aspects

*Source: AGU*

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