https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210670725006985

*Authors: *Tolulope E. Adeliyi, Akintomide A. Akinsanola, Thierry N. Taguela

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2025.106825

*16 September 2025*

*Highlights*
•SRM reduces JJAS temperatures by up to 3°C across monsoon regions.

•Heatwave frequency, duration, and intensity reduce significantly with SRM.

•SRM-induced cooling is driven by reduced net downward radiation.

•Population exposure to heatwaves is reduced, especially in the far-future.

*Abstract*
Rising global temperatures due to greenhouse gas emissions are increasingly
exposing billions across the densely populated Afro-Asian monsoon regions
to extreme heat stress. This study assesses the potential of solar
radiation management (SRM), using stratospheric aerosol injection
(G6Sulfur) and solar radiation dimming (G6Solar), to mitigate future
changes in temperature and heatwave characteristics during the boreal
summer monsoon season (June to September) over the mid-future (2040-2069)
and far-future (2070-2099), based on simulations from the Geoengineering
Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) under CMIP6. Compared to the
high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario, both G6Solar and G6Sulfur substantially
reduce projected increases in mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures
across the South Asian, East Asian, and West African monsoon regions, with
cooling exceeding 3°C in some areas by the far-future. The frequency,
duration, and intensity of all heatwave characteristics are also
significantly reduced, by over 20 days, 10 days, and 1.0°C, respectively.
Surface energy budget diagnostics reveal that the temperature reduction is
driven primarily by reduced net downward surface radiation, largely due to
decreased clear-sky downward longwave radiation associated with reduced
atmospheric water vapor. Moisture budget diagnostics further show that
reduced atmospheric water vapor convergence is modulated by decreased
thermodynamic processes, particularly specific humidity. Finally, both SRM
methods lead to substantial reductions in population exposure to all
heatwave types, especially in the far-future. These findings suggest that
SRM could help alleviate future heat-related health risks and reduce
pressure on urban infrastructure across the Afro-Asian monsoon regions.

*Source: ScienceDirect *

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