https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5434715

*Authors: *Gideon Futerman, Peter Rautenbach

*03 September 2025*

*Abstract*
As the salience of Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) - also known as Solar
Geoengineering - rises, there have been increasing discussions of the
possible security and conflict implications of these technologies. This
piece looks at SRM through the lens of securitization and how SRM can
securitize climate change and related disasters. Critically, SRM can enable
climate disasters to be attributed to SRM-deploying actors. By creating a
"threatening Other" on which to blame climate change, securitisation and
exceptional measures, such as conflict, can be pursued in response to
climatic events. Using past work, this piece builds a typology of conflict
pathways and explores how the causal mechanisms illuminated by
securitisation help explain conflict risk in these scenarios. Finally, with
conflict-inducing-securitization in mind, we add a new, unexplored,
conflict risk which outlines how conflict could occur in response to
counter-geoengineering-a response to SRM which has been seen as an offramp
for conflict risk.

*Source: SSRN*

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