Dear all,

With apologies for clogging your inboxes so close to the holidays, I wanted to 
make you aware of a new article we had published today in Science, looking at 
the sustainability of the metal and mineral supply chains we depend upon for 
decarbonisation.  I am admittedly not a deep specialist in this myself, so I 
teamed up with some of the best mining and minerals experts in the world I 
know, and we have produced I believe one of the most authoritative studies on 
the topic.

For public consumption, the press release and summary of the study is below, 
anybody wanting a PDF copy of the article and it's Supplementary Material need 
only email me.

With very best wishes from London,

Benjamin K. Sovacool (and co-authors)

The study:<https://science.sciencemag.org/content/367/6473/30>

Sovacool, BK, SH Ali, M Bazilian, B Radley, B Nemery, J Okatz, and D Mulvaney. 
"Sustainable minerals and metals for a low-carbon future," Science 367 (6473) 
(January 3, 2020), pp. 30-33.

Summary: Climate change mitigation will create new natural resource and supply 
chain opportunities and dilemmas, because substantial amounts of raw materials 
will be required to build new low-carbon energy devices and infrastructure. 
However, despite attempts at improved governance and better corporate 
management, procurement of many mineral and metal resources occurs in areas 
generally acknowledged for mismanagement, remains environmentally capricious, 
and, in some cases, is a source of conflict at the sites of resource 
extraction. These extractive and smelting industries have thus left a legacy in 
many parts of the world of environmental degradation, adverse impacts to public 
health, marginalized communities and workers, and biodiversity damage. We 
identify key sustainability challenges with practices used in industries that 
will supply the metals and minerals-including cobalt, copper, lithium, cadmium, 
and rare earth elements (REEs)-needed for technologies such as solar 
photovoltaics, batteries, electric vehicle (EV) motors, wind turbines, fuel 
cells, and nuclear reactors. We then propose four holistic recommendations to 
make mining and metal processing more sustainable and just and to make the 
mining and extractive industries more efficient and resilient.

The press 
release:<https://phys.org/news/2020-01-sustainable-minerals-metals-key-low-carbon.html>


Sustainable supply of minerals and metals key to a low-carbon energy future

The global low-carbon revolution could be at risk unless new international 
agreements and governance mechanisms are put in place to ensure a sustainable 
supply of rare minerals and metals, a new academic study has warned.

The amount of cobalt, copper, lithium, cadmium, and rare earth elements needed 
for solar photovoltaics, batteries, electric vehicle (EV) motors, wind 
turbines, fuel cells, and nuclear reactors will likely grow at a rapid pace in 
the upcoming years. Even if alternatives are found for one metal, there will be 
reliance on another as the scope of possibilities is inherently limited by 
physical and chemical properties of elements.

However, with global supplies often heavily monopolized by a single country, 
confronted by social and environmental conflict, or concentrated in poorly 
functioning markets, there is a real possibility that a shortage of minerals 
could hold back the urgent need for a rapid upscaling of low-carbon 
technologies. In some cases, markets are providing misleading signals to 
investors that can lead to poor decisions. In other cases, the countries or 
regions supplying minerals are politically unstable.

An international team of researchers have made a number of recommendations to 
help manage the demand for such low-carbon technology minerals as well as 
limiting the environmental and public health damage of their extraction and 
processing, supporting social benefits, and also ensuring the benefits are 
shared more universally and equitably, in a new paper published in Science 
today [January 3].

Benjamin K. Sovacool, Professor of Energy Policy at the University of Sussex, 
said: "Mining, metals, and materials extraction is the hidden foundation of the 
low-carbon transition. But it is far too dirty, dangerous, and damaging to 
continue on its current trajectory."


[cid:image005.jpg@01D5C210.B6745440]
This image shows a young cobalt miner in the DRC in Kolwezi clambering up a 
mineshaft. Note the bare feet and lack of a ladder, just holes dug in the walls.



"The impacts to mining rightfully alarm many environmental campaigners as a 
large price to pay to safeguard a low-carbon future. But as the extraction 
through terrestrial mining becomes more challenging, the on-land reserves of 
some terrestrial minerals dwindle or the social resistance in some countries 
escalates, even oceanic or even space based mineral reserves will become a 
plausible source."



Although the new study calls for renewed attention to tackle existing 
conditions of terrestrial extraction and processing of metals, it also states 
that there are important prospects of cobalt and nickel on the continental 
shelf within states' Exclusive Economic Zones as well as on the outer 
continental shelf regions.



Within international waters, metallic nodules found in the vast 
Clarion-Clipperton Zone of the Pacific as well as in cobalt and tellurium 
crusts, found in seamounts worldwide, provide some of the richest deposits of 
metals for green technologies.

But minerals in more pristine and distinctive ecosystems near hydrothermal 
vents should remain off-limits for mineral extraction for the foreseeable 
future, the researchers add.

Morgan Bazilian, Professor and Director of the Payne Institute for Public 
Policy, Colorado School of Mines: "As the global energy landscape changes, it 
is becoming more mineral and metal intensive. Thus, the sustainability and 
security of material supply chains is essential to supporting the energy 
transition. How we shape that pathway will have important consequences for 
everything from the environment, to development, and geopolitics."

The study's authors also recommend:



*         Materials security of essential minerals and metals to be actively 
incorporated into formal climate planning including establishing a list of 
"critical minerals" for energy security (which is already done to some degree 
by the European Union and United States).

*         Enhance and coordinate international agreements on responsible mining 
and traceability in order to establish mineral supply justice.

*         Greatly expand the recycling and reuse of rare minerals to extend the 
lifetimes of products and stretch out reserves.

*         Diversify mineral supply scale to incorporate both small and 
large-scale operations while allowing miners to have control over mineral 
revenue through stronger benefit sharing mechanisms and access to markets.

*         Focus development donor policies to recognize the livelihood 
potential of mining in areas of extreme poverty rather than just regulating the 
sector for tax revenues.

*         Stipulate stronger Extended Producer Responsibility for products that 
use valuable rare minerals. This can ensure that responsibility for the entire 
lifespan of a product including at the end of its usefulness shifts from users 
or waste managers to major producers such as Apple, Samsung, and Toshiba.



Saleem Ali, Blue and Gold Distinguished Professor of Energy and the Environment 
at the University of Delaware, said: "Our analysis is aimed at galvanizing 
international policy-makers to include mineral supply concerns for green 
technologies in climate change negotiations. We need to build on the resolution 
on mineral governance passed at the United Nations Environment Assembly in 2019 
and operationalize a clear action plan on supply chain security for a low 
carbon transition."



Benoit Nemery, Emeritus Professor at the Centre for Environment and Health at 
KU Leuven, said: "Let's not achieve a low-carbon future at the expense of 
mineworkers and public health."

Factfile - The expected rising demands for a decarbonized future

Between 2015 and 2050, the global EV stock needs to jump from 1.2 million 
light-duty passenger cars to 965 million passenger cars

Battery storage capacity needs to climb from 0.5 gigawatt-hour (GWh) to 12,380 
GWh
The amount of installed solar photovoltaic capacity must rise from 223 GW to 
more than 7100 GW


Increases in demand for materials between 2015 and 2060 of 87,000% for EV 
batteries, 1000% for wind power, and 3000% for solar cells and photovoltaics.

Countries accounting for the largest share of critical raw materials:
[World primary supply of critical raw materials]



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