<http://www.business-standard.com/archives/2003/mar/50120303.075.asp>

Value For Money : Subir Roy
Can ICT be India's growth engine?
Business Standard, March 12, 2003

ICT has already started improving infrastructure and there is enormous
potential for future development

Can information and communication technology (ICT), or more specifically
software, deliver for India when all other models have failed?

Is India witnessing, or about to witness, ICT or IT or software led
growth the same way as the Asian Tigers rode on export led growth? This
was the subject of an Indo-US workshop organised by the department of
management studies of the Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore.

Of all the papers, one of the most esoteric was one by Govindan Parayil
(National University of Singapore) who saw two contradictions of ICT-led
development, digital divide and increasing returns. The digital divide
is not an accessibility issue but an equity issue.

There is an asymmetric relation between traditional modes of production
(manufacturing, etc) and innovation and knowledge-based production.
There is now a dual economy, primary and industrial on one side and
information-based on the other. It is constant/decreasing returns versus
increasing returns.

The divide between these two modes is the digital divide. Under
informational or digital capitalism increasing returns are not an
anomaly. But they create an instability. They have been marked by the
most unequal distributions of income and wealth in human history. His
conclusion: development theories of the industrial age are inadequate to
explain the ground realities of the information age.

K J Joseph (Centre for Development Studies, Trivandrum) feels there is
an adverse impact of the strategy of excessive export orientation. The
contribution of the ICT sector can be viewed at two levels, direct and
indirect effect. The direct effect is in employment, income and export
earnings from ICT.

The indirect effect is in enhanced productivity, competitiveness and
growth of other sectors on account of IT diffusion, emergence of
altogether new services enabled by ICT and spillovers. He argues that
the direct benefits are laudable. The ICT sector itself has shown
remarkable vibrancy in terms of output and export growth as well as
technological dynamism. These are often cited as the outcome of the
export oriented growth strategy that was followed.

But the economy as a whole seems not to have benefited because of high
regional concentration of ICT activity and low diffusion of ICT to other
sectors of the economy. Because of the ICT boom, other sectors of the
economy which compete with it for skilled manpower would have been
adversely affected.

There are also adverse implications on other services like teaching,
training, research and development. These are bound to have long-term
implications on the overall growth of the economy and as well as in
sustaining the current competitive advantage of ICT. Joseph calls for a
national policy on ICT diffusion which could mitigate the adverse effect
of excessive export orientation.

Tojo Thatchenkery et al (George Mason University) address some very
basic questions. Does ICT lead to economic development?

Has it led to investment in infrastructure, institutions and
individuals? What are some of the shortcomings of ICT as a development
tool and what policy implication does this have? ICT reduces barriers to
knowledge and information asymmetry. It has a large potential for
infrastructure, institutional and human development. It increases
transparency in institutions, promotes efficient market outcomes and can
create jobs and generate incomes.

The paper notes several examples of developmental use of ICT. Eye care
is delivered in Mettur district in Tamil Nadu through web cameras and
the Net. The National Dairy Development Board in Gujarat is digitising
milk collection and thereby helping farmers.

Under the Gyandoot scheme in Madhya Pradesh, 20 villages have been wired
to the central database for access to both government and agricultural
information. SEWA provides women in Gujarat with basic computer
education to help them manage micro enterprises.

What are the problems? Uneven regional development leading to greater
inequality between states and also greater rich-poor, urban-rural
inequalities; and lack of absorptive capacity standing in the way of
knowledge filtering to other sectors of the economy.

Importantly, there is poor domestic demand for ICT as it remains outward
looking. The paper concludes that ICT can be the answer to unmet demands
and needs of Indians. It has already started to improve infrastructure,
education, health, gender, private enterprise, governance, rural
development and public services. And there is enormous potential for
future development.

W e can turn to T T Srikumaran (Hong Kong University of Science and
Technology) for some hard evidence on the ground. He examines the
Gyandoot in Madhya Pradesh, village knowledge centre in Pondicherry
(IVRP) and TARA kendras in Punjab. The model is of multipurpose kiosks
in rural areas catering to specific local and clientele-based packaging
and delivery of information.

Gyandoot has wider coverage and strong social roots. There are clear
signs of empowerment, though still partial and limited. There are
instances of local power relations being reinforced. However, there is
relatively better local use because of the unique set of services the
project offers.

In Pondicherry, the kiosks which rely heavily on local resources offer
highly uneven facilities. Critically, communities which are backward and
poor are unable to acquire the infrastructure required to set up the
kiosks.

The reality is that though massive job creation and poverty alleviation
may be the lofty goals, it is extremely difficult to pursue them with an
overemphasis on the potential of new technologies. Both the state and
social enterprise models have systematically overstated their
achievements leading to a glorification of the potential of ICT based
initiatives.

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