> Arthur Smith <apsm...@aps.org> wrote: > > sh> I see the problem as that of awakening researchers to the benefits (in > sh> terms of visibility, accessibility, and hence potential impact) of > sh> freeing access to their research online through self-archiving. In > sh> other words, the problem is getting the 20M up there, along with the > sh> 50K. > > Actually I thought you said it was 2 million, not 20 million
You're right: 2M. My typo (probably lax because I know it could be an underestimate by as much as an order of magnitude!). > at what point can author self-archiving declare victory? When most or all of the 2M is up there, online and free. > One would think it could several > years ago in high energy physics, with virtually 100% coverage. You seem > to be implying coverage has to be complete in ALL areas of science (or > all areas of scholarly publishing, even?) before we can expect to see > S/L/P cancellations. Maybe the answer is somewhere in between? This is all speculative, but here are some likely factors: (1) Libraries won't cancel journals till their faculty say they don't need them any more (or that they need this less than that). (2) Faculty won't recommend cancellation till all their refereed journal needs are available free online. (3) Libraries won't cancel while only one subfield recommend it. (4) Faculty will be slow to realize it is safe to cancel. (5) Libraries will be slow to realize it is safe to cancel. (6) Libraries and faculty will never cancel journals, even if/when the entire literature (2M) is available online for free. (That's fine with me...) To repeat, the goal of the Self-Archiving Initiative is to make sure that all refereed research (2M) is available online for free. Its goal is NOT to precipitate journal cancellations. Freeing online access to the refereed literature is an end in itself, not a means to an end. (Nevertheless, if I were a publisher of journals in High Energy Physics, I wouldn't want to place TOO much faith in the failure of the arxiv to precipitate cancellations so far: Would you?) > But my suspicion is that author self-archiving is really only addressing > part of the problem. Yes it is providing free access to people, that's > great. But the problem seems to be the fact that it is under author > control, and a medium controlled by the authors is not sufficiently > trustworthy for science and scholarly institutions to abandon their > established communications media - the scholarly journals. That may well be the case, and yet another reason why there have been no cancellations in HEP or elsewhere. All I can repeat is that for the Self-Archiving Initiative, if the HEP effect could be generalized to the entire 2M corpus, our work would be done. The goal was to make it all accessible online to all potential users everywhere for free. That was all. (But that's still a tall order!) (By the way, lack of confidence in "author control" may be one of the reasons self-archiving is growing so slowly. That is why I hope that institutional Eprint archives will inspire more confidence, and hence elicit more content (that institution's own subset of the annual 2M). Both researchers and their institutions share a stake in maximizing the visibility, accessibility, uptake and impact of their research in perpetuo. OAI-interoperability and harvesting services generating global "virtual archives" from the distributed and mirrored institutional archives should go some way toward allaying authors' possible fears about management and preservation, especially with the institutions' digital libraries actively involved.) http://www.eprints.org > So the need > really is for a new medium, NOT controlled by authors, but perhaps > controlled by researchers and their disciplines in some larger sense. A discipline is alas a nebulous entity, with no real coherent interest or clout. A researcher's university, in contrast, has the same interest in research impact as its researchers (that's why "publish or perish" has became the driver, supplemented by impact factors), and has has the clout to do whatever it takes to maximize it. With OAI interoperability, distributed institutional eprint archiving (and overlaid harvesting services) may just turn out to be that requisite medium which succeeds in making it all happen at last. http://www.ecs.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/Tp/resolution.htm#7.2 http://www.ecs.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/Tp/resolution.htm#7.3 > Perhaps it will be the journals themselves in some new guise - or > perhaps it will be something new, based on the author self-archives. Anything is possible as long as the bottom line is that all of the refereed literature is accessible online for free. > Stevan, feel free to continue promoting author self-archiving, and I > wish you well in reaching the 2 million or 20 million figure. But I > think we've reached a point where it's clear this isn't a full solution > at least to the problem of serials costs to libraries, which is, if not > the only goal, one major goal this forum has been trying to address. I believe that if self-archiving succeeds in reaching critical mass, a spinoff will be a solution to the serials crisis; but even if it is not, it will have solved all the problems I, for one, am fighting to solve! I do think that it is simply slowing the optimal and inevitable to focus on institutional serials budgets directly, rather than on freeing the literature those budgets currently pay for, by self-archiving it in institutional eprint archives. > Somewhat along those lines, this forum may be interested in continuing > fallout from the Public Library of Science effort: > > http://www.genomeweb.com/articles/view-article.asp?Article=200172219199 > > -- it sounds like they may actually try starting up their own new > "journals" based around the public library distribution medium. And they > have a very close impending deadline! Could be interesting... I wish them every success -- but I doubt they will succeed, for reasons I have described in comparing the 6 current strategies for freeing the refereed literature: Boycotts ask authors to give up their established journals of choice (along with their imprimatur, authorship, quality, and impact factor) in favor of new, unestablished journals, simply in order to free their refereed papers. Although there's no second-guessing human nature, it is not at all clear to me why rational researchers would prefer making that risky and untested sacrifice, when they can have their cake (their established journals of choice) and eat it too (though self-archiving) with with no risk or sacrifice at all. http://www.ariadne.ac.uk/issue28/minotaur/ -------------------------------------------------------------------- Stevan Harnad har...@cogsci.soton.ac.uk Professor of Cognitive Science har...@princeton.edu Department of Electronics and phone: +44 23-80 592-582 Computer Science fax: +44 23-80 592-865 University of Southampton http://www.ecs.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/ Highfield, Southampton http://www.princeton.edu/~harnad/ SO17 1BJ UNITED KINGDOM NOTE: A complete archive of the ongoing discussion of providing free access to the refereed journal literature online is available at the American Scientist September Forum (98 & 99 & 00 & 01): http://amsci-forum.amsci.org/archives/American-Scientist-Open-Access-Forum.html You may join the list at the site above. Discussion can be posted to: american-scientist-open-access-fo...@amsci.org