Jan, I do not think you have enough data yet for your titles. You are comparing onw group of articles in an open environment with different articles in a closed environment. Stevan is correct that for the same articles, the open environment is much more used, at least for ArXiv. This is compatible with recently collected preliminary data from this university which shows very low print and quite low electronic use from the journals whose articles are in fields covered by arXiv, even though that area of coverage is a major research subject here.
I can think of many sources from which relevantdata could potentially be gathered. E.G., access for Highwire titles the month before and the month after the access is open to the public. What Biomednet needs to prove to me is that its articles are of first-rate quality. I do not care much about use of lesser material, from any source, paid or unpaid, just because it's there. I care about use of excellent material, which is what the scientists really need. It's excellence in scientific quality that matters most--only then comes ease of availability to it. If you prove able to arrange for both, you will have solved the problem. -- Best wishes, David Stevan Harnad wrote: > > On Wed, 16 Jan 2002, Jan Velterop wrote: > > > Dear fellow Open Accessors, > > > > May I put a question to you? Would any of you have an idea of access figures > > of full-text articles in Open Access environments vs. protected access > > environments? > > > > We have recently analysed the figures for BioMed Central and come to an > > average full-text access statistic per article per month of more than 100 > > downloads. On top of that there are a lot of 'abstract-visits' (a multiple > > of that number). From a recent Elsevier presentation (at e-ICOLC) I have the > > following figures: ca. 10 million full-text downloads a month from > > ScienceDirect and 40 million abstract-visits (ScienceDirect currently > > contains 1.8 million articles), which translates to something in the order > > of 5.5 full-text downloads per article per month. > > > > I wonder if we have enough data to show unambiguously that Open Access > > increases an article's visibility by a really significant factor (almost 20 > > on the basis of the figures above). > > Data are accumulating, and it would be easy for someone to do a > systematic study, using archives such as the Physics Arxiv where > accesses to the firewalled vs. free draft of the same work can > be specifically compared. > > Perhaps others will know of such systematic comparisons underway > currently. I know only of these two at the moment: > > Lawrence, S. (2001) Online or Invisible? Nature 411 (6837): 521. > http://www.neci.nec.com/~lawrence/papers/online-nature01/ > > and > > Odlyzko, A.M. (2002) The rapid evolution of scholarly communication, A. > M. Odlyzko. Learned Publishing, 15(1), pp. 7-19. Also to > appear in Bits and Bucks: Economics and Usage of Digital Collections, > W. Lougee and J. MacKie-Mason, eds., MIT Press, 2002. > http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/doc/rapid.evolution.pdf > > Stevan Harnad -- David Goodman Research Librarian and Biological Science Bibliographer Princeton University Library Princeton, NJ 08544-0001 phone: 609-258-3235 fax: 609-258-2627 e-mail: dgood...@princeton.edu