Richard Poynder has just published a sequel to last month's: Poynder on Point Ten Years After By Richard Poynder Information Today 21(9) October 1 2004 http://www.infotoday.com/IT/oct04/poynder.shtml
This month's sequel is: Poynder on Point No Gain Without Pain By Richard Poynder Information Today 21(10) November 1 2004 http://www.infotoday.com/it/nov04/poynder.shtml I was going to do my usual quote/commentary critique of this article, and I could; but as I began to write it I realized that I could not really say anything that Richard Poynder had not already known or thought of, or even written, elsewhere in this or the prior article. In fact, he even catches me in a blatant self-contradiction, and produces the verbatim quote to document it! My hat is off to Richard, and I hereby rescind (but for Richard's work only!) the epigraph I had lately penned in frustration at the incompetent way most journalists were covering OA: "Journalists, like moths and drunks, seem attracted, irresistibly, where the light shines, not where the key lies" Which is not to say that I agree with Richard's conclusions that (1) there is something missing in OA self-archiving, because although it does bring OA, it doesn't relieve librarians' affordability crisis or that (2) OA self-archiving will lead to the kind of catastrophic crisis point that Richard so adroitly quotes me as having speculated that it would, a few years ago! But the only way I could reply to that speculation would be to counter-speculate, and I have for some time now explicitly renounced all speculation (so I could denounce it in others!) in favour of the actual accumulating empirical evidence to date: and that evidence all indicates that we can reach 100% OA via the green road of self-archiving without any kind of catastrophe. "The Green Road to Open Access: A Leveraged Transition" http://www.ecs.soton.ac.uk/~harnad/Temp/greenroad.html So let me instead use the same strategem that Richard used, and simply cite my prior self, from the days when I still speculated, in a passage where I described how any hypothetical catastrophe could and would be naturally, and gradually, averted: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200304/cmselect/cmsctech/399/399we152.htm As far as I can tell, no one (including Richard!) has yet given any evidence of having taken the hypothetical scenario described in that passage into account, or even of having read it (despite the many, many times I have cited it!). As to the affordability crisis: 100% OA does not solve it, but it certainly makes it less pressing! After all, the library's agonizing over how to make the most out of a finite journals budget in the face of rising journal prices becomes a rather less urgent matter once all articles can be accessed for free! The agony, after all, was for the sake of maximizing access for the library's users, and 100% OA eo ipso takes care of that. If that reassurance makes you restless about catastrophes again, please look again at the link above, and try to keep in mind that any publisher revenue losses arising from cancellations must *always* equal institutional library windfall gains arising from those very same cancellations. As one pot shrinks, the other must grow. The rest is left as an exercise for the reader. (Hint: There exists a much more realistic and natural transition scenario from green to gold than the hybrid "open choice" ("optional paid OA") model that some journals are currently experimenting with -- but only if and when that transition should ever be forced by the market. For now, even the (paid) paper edition still has a lot of good years left in it -- once the more urgent problem of access has been remedied by green OA.) Stevan Harnad