Anyone who has followed the tedious exchanges with Graham Triggs can find the 
replies to the few substantive points below by just re-reading the exchanges. 
The many ideological, hypothetical and irrelevant points too, but they are even 
less worth the effort. If Graham says something new, substantive and short, I 
am prepared to listen…

Stevan Harnad

On 2013-12-10, at 8:55 AM, Graham Triggs <grahamtri...@gmail.com> wrote:

> On 7 December 2013 12:56, Stevan Harnad <amscifo...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 4. The majority of publishers with Green OA embargoes have an embargo of one 
> year (though 60%, including Elsevier and Springer, have no embargo at all).
> 
> That's not true - Springer have adopted a 12 month embargo, and Elsevier 
> require an embargo for non-voluntary deposits. (You can argue as much as you 
> like about whether you can call a spade a fork, it doesn't change what the 
> policy is).
> 
> Further, your claim of 60% seems to be entirely based on Sherpa/RoMEO data - 
> which you usually provide links to. Except the classifications of RoMEO alone 
> does not lead to saying that 60% of journals / publishers have no embargo, as 
> when you read through the restrictions, what you CAN do may be listed as 
> being subject to an embagro (as in the case of Elsevier and Springer).
> 
> The reasoning is that since free access after a year is a foregone 
> conclusion, because of Green mandates, it's better if that free access is 
> provided by publishers as Gold, so it all remains in their hands (navigation, 
> search, reference linking, re-use, re-publication, etc.).
> 
> Actually, providing that a CTA has been signed as part of publishing the 
> article, then the re-use and re-publication is only possible in accordance 
> with the licence(s) that the publisher allows the content to be distributed 
> under. So, regardless of whether the content is on another site or not, the 
> [publisher granted rights via CTA] still retain that control.
> 
> Everyone gets Gold access after a year, and that's the end of it. Back to 
> business as before -- unless the market prefers to pay the same price that it 
> pays for subscriptions, in exchange for immediate, un-embargoed Gold OA (as 
> in SCOAP3 or hybrid Gold).
> 
> Where do you get same price from? Estimates put subscription revenue per 
> article at around $4,000-$5,000, whereas even high-price hybrid Gold is only 
> $3,000 an article (with an industry average closer to $1,000 per article). 
> 
> Your claim regarding SCOAP3 might have more substance if it wasn't a library 
> and funding agency led initiative to reduce the cost of publishing in physics 
> - something that 20 years of "100% OA" in arXiv has failed to do.
> 
> And the inevitable is immediate Green OA, with authors posting their 
> refereed, accepted final drafts immediately upon acceptance for publication. 
> That version will become the version of record, because subscriptions to the 
> publisher's print and online version will become unsustainable once the Green 
> OA version is free for all.
> 
> If it was immediate Green OA of the refereed, accepted final draft (and it 
> could be trusted that was the case), then there might be a chance of that 
> happening. Might.
> 
> Not that print is necessarily under threat from that - if people want print 
> [enough], then they would continue to pay for it, regardless of where else it 
> may exist, or at what cost.
> 
> But that isn't what's happening, is it? Springer and Elsevier have introduced 
> and/or lengthened embargoes in response to Green mandates (in Elsevier's 
> case, the clause is specifically invoked by the presence of a mandate).
> 
> These embargoes are going to exist as long as publishers believe that they 
> are necessary. And so, if you expect to continue to publish -at no author 
> cost - in the journals you choose to now, you are only going to see embargoes 
> disappear if people will continue to pay the subscriptions.
>  
> as Fair Gold (instead of today's over-priced, double-paid and double-dipped 
> Fool's Gold) out of a fraction of the institutional annual windfall savings 
> from their cancelled annual subscriptions.
> 
> And the evidence of double-dipping is?
> 
> On the other hand, not only has Wellcome stated there are indications of 
> subscription price rises being constrained appropriately by limited uptake of 
> hybrid Gold options, we have actual statements of subscription prices REDUCED 
> because of Gold uptake in others:
> 
> http://www.nature.com/press_releases/emboopen.html
> http://static.springer.com/sgw/documents/1345327/application/pdf/Springer+Open+Choice_Journal+Price+Adjustments+2013.pdf
>  
> So both the 1-year embargo on Green and the 1-year release of Gold are 
> attempts to fend off the above: OA has become a fight for that first year of 
> access: researchers need and want it immediately; publishers want to hold 
> onto it unless they continue to be paid as much as they are being paid now.
> 
> No, publishers are going to hold onto it unless they continue to be paid what 
> they see as a fair return on their costs.
> 
> I can't ever see there not being a tension between academics and [commercial] 
> publishers over profits. But changing the business model so that you pay 
> upfront for publishing services can and will reduce the overall cost to the 
> scholarly community.
> 
> However, it would be a mistake to just talk about first year of access. 
> Ownership of materials is also important. Aside from the other opportunity 
> costs, not retaining ownership is what allows these embargoes to exist.
> 
> Changing the predominant business model to upfront payment will deliver 
> immediate access, ownership and lower costs. Failing to do so isn't going to 
> deliver ownership or lower costs, and it's not going to deliver immediate 
> access to anything other than pre-print material.
> 
> That's not just the evidenced in the last 20 years of open access provision, 
> but in what is being attempted by SCOAP3 to deliver what Green OA alone can't.
> 
> G
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