In a message dated 8/12/2003 4:02:46 AM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
writes:

>
> Within a month he was feeling better and discarded his conventional treatments. 
> Praise >the lord, he was cured! Unfortunately for him, two months later, he was dead.
> 

vivek araujo <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote earlier:
>
>she made me kneel to recite three hail mary our father and hail holy queen gave me
>some holy water and requested that I pray the rosary , went home and prayed the 
>rosary >with faith ,tears rolled down my eyes and I could feel the touch of the Good 
>lord who >as though touched me and said I heal you in the name of lord , had some 
>holy water, and >the next  morning till date I never had a problem.
>

It is always a bad idea to discontinue modern scientific medical treatment, and opt 
for some untested, supernatural treatment. In case people are wondering why bogus 
treatments such as the ones cited in the above excerpts often seem to work, at least 
for a short period of time, here is a nice article by Dr. Barry Beyerstein, a 
biopsychologist at Simon Fraser University in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.

Cheers,

Santosh



WHY BOGUS THERAPIES OFTEN SEEM TO WORK

Barry L. Beyerstein, Ph.D.

Subtle forces can lead intelligent people (both patients and therapists) to think that 
a treatment has helped someone when it has not. This is true for new treatments in 
scientific medicine, as well as for nostrums in folk medicine, fringe practices in 
"alternative medicine," and the ministrations of faith healers.

Many dubious methods remain on the market primarily because satisfied customers offer 
testimonials to their worth. Essentially, these people say: "I tried it, and I got 
better, so it must be effective." The electronic and print media typically portray 
testimonials as valid evidence. But without proper testing, it is difficult or 
impossible to determine whether this is so.

This article describes seven reasons why people may erroneously conclude that an 
ineffective therapy works.

1. The disease may have run its natural course.
Many diseases are self-limiting. If the condition is not chronic or fatal, the body's 
own recuperative processes usually restore the sufferer to health. Thus, to 
demonstrate that a therapy is effective, its proponents must show that the number of 
patients listed as improved exceeds the number expected to recover without any 
treatment at all (or that they recover reliably faster than if left untreated). 
Without detailed records of successes and failures for a large enough number of 
patients with the same complaint, someone cannot legitimately claim to have exceeded 
the published norms for unaided recovery.
 
2. Many diseases are cyclical.
Such conditions as arthritis, multiple sclerosis, allergies, and gastrointestinal 
problems normally have "ups and downs." Naturally, sufferers tend to seek therapy 
during the downturn of any given cycle. In this way, a bogus treatment will have 
repeated opportunities to coincide with upturns that would have happened anyway.
 
3. The placebo effect may be responsible.
Through suggestion, belief, expectancy, cognitive reinterpretation, and diversion of 
attention, patients given biologically useless treatments often experience measurable 
relief. Some placebo responses produce actual changes in the physical condition; 
others are subjective changes that make patients feel better even though there has 
been no objective change in the underlying pathology.
 
4. People who hedge their bets credit the wrong thing.
If improvement occurs after someone has had both "alternative" and science-based 
treatment, the fringe practice often gets a disproportionate share of the credit.
 
5. The original diagnosis or prognosis may have been incorrect.
Scientifically trained physicians are not infallible. A mistaken diagnosis, followed 
by a trip to a shrine or an "alternative" healer, can lead to a glowing testimonial 
for curing a condition that would have resolved by itself. In other cases, the 
diagnosis may be correct but the time frame, which is inherently difficult to predict, 
might prove inaccurate.
 
6. Temporary mood improvement can be confused with cure.
Alternative healers often have forceful, charismatic personalities. To the extent that 
patients are swept up by the messianic aspects of "alternative medicine," 
psychological uplift may ensue.
 
7. Psychological needs can distort what people perceive and do.
Even when no objective improvement occurs, people with a strong psychological 
investment in "alternative medicine" can convince themselves they have been helped. 
According to cognitive dissonance theory, when experiences contradict existing 
attitudes, feelings, or knowledge, mental distress is produced. People tend to 
alleviate this discord by reinterpreting (distorting) the offending information. If no 
relief occurs after committing time, money, and "face" to an alternate course of 
treatment (and perhaps to the worldview of which it is a part), internal disharmony 
can result. Rather than admit to themselves or to others that their efforts have been 
a waste, many people find some redeeming value in the treatment.
 
Core beliefs tend to be vigorously defended by warping perception and memory. Fringe 
practitioners and their clients are prone to misinterpret cues and remember things as 
they wish they had happened. They may be selective in what they recall, overestimating 
their apparent successes while ignoring, downplaying, or explaining away their 
failures.
 
The scientific method evolved in large part to reduce the impact of this human 
penchant for jumping to congenial conclusions. In addition, people normally feel 
obligated to reciprocate when someone does them a good turn. Since most "alternative" 
therapists sincerely believe they are helping, it is only natural that patients would 
want to please them in return. Without patients necessarily realizing it, such 
obligations are sufficient to inflate their perception of how much benefit they have 
received.
 
BUYER BEWARE!
The job of distinguishing real from spurious causal relationships requires well 
designed studies and logical abstractions from large bodies of data. Many sources of 
error can mislead people who rely on intuition or informal reasoning to analyze 
complex events.

Before agreeing to any kind of treatment, you should feel confident that it makes 
sense and has been scientifically validated through studies that control for placebo 
responses, compliance effects, and judgmental errors. You should be very wary if the 
"evidence" consists merely of testimonials, self-published pamphlets or books, or 
items from the popular media.


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