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CONVENTION OF THE GOAN DIASPORA FROM GOA INTO THE WORLD
Lisbon, Portugal June 15-17, 2007 Details at: 
http://www.goacom.org/casa-de-goa/noticias.html 
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--- Mario Goveia <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
>This indicates to any serious observer that they
>need to be skeptical of the kinds of angry, insulting
>and questionable assertions we see from evangelical
>environmental fundamentalists like Santosh, who seem
>to get very upset when their orthodoxy is challenged
>by a growing number of scientists and observers with
>

The emotional issues revealed in the above post are of
serious concern. I hope they are being properly
addressed. But regarding the rest of the post a
summary of refutations of the myths propagated by it
and other similar deceptive ideological campaigns is
given in the following article written by Prof. John
Mitchell, Fellow of the British Royal Society and
Chief Scientist at the Meteorological Office of the
government of United Kingdom:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/myths/index.html

Among the myths being dispelled is:

"Myth 1 - Ice core records show that changes in
temperature drive changes in carbon dioxide, and it is
not carbon dioxide that is driving the current
warming"

(This old myth is the latest bogus information being
circulated in this forum and by many ideological
websites, magazines and talk shows).

I forgot to mention in my earlier post that there is
conclusive evidence in support of the notion that the
post-industrial increase in CO2 levels is
substantially due to human activity. This objective
evidence is obtained by detailed measurements of
carbon isotope ratios in atmospheric and oceanic CO2.
One prominent research paper on it is the following:

Quay, P.D., B. Tilbrook, C.S. Wong. Oceanic uptake of
fossil fuel CO2: carbon-13 evidence. Science 256
(1992), 74-79

To substantiate my earlier assertion that the last
decade has seen an unprecedented increase in global
atmospheric, oceanic and ground temperatures, here are
some links to actual data:

http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Ch03.pdf
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Ch05.pdf
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_TS.pdf

Please also see this graph:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/hadleycentre/ar4/wg1report.html,
on the UK Met Office website to note the sustained
rapid increase in global temperature from 1997 through
2006, with 1998 and 2005 being years with the top two
highest temperatures recorded. Here in addition is a
quote from the technical summary of the latest global
climate report:

"2005 and 1998 were the warmest two years in the
instrumental global surface air temperature record
since 1850. Surface temperatures in 1998 were enhanced
by the major 1997–1998 El Niño but no such strong
anomaly was present in 2005. Eleven of the last 12
years (1995 to 2006) – the exception being 1996 – rank
among the 12 warmest years on record since 1850."

Regarding the other bogus talking point that is making
the rounds in ideological campaigns such as the above,
namely the paper by Christopher Essex, Ross McKitrick,
and Bjarne Andresen, questioning the mathematical
definition of a global temperature, other scientists
in the specific area in question have shown why such
mathematic semantics are inconsequential to actual
observations. They have pointed out that whether an
arithmetic mean or a geometric mean of temperatures
should be used, and such other redefinitions, do
nothing to detract from the actual warming that is
observed by objective measurements of ground, oceanic
and surface air temperatures. Here is what Rasmus
Benestad, a climate physicist at the Norwegian
Meteorological Institute says about this paper:

"The whole paper is irrelevant in the context of a
climate change because it missed a very central point.
CO2 affects all surface temperatures on Earth, and in
order to improve the signal-to-noise ratio, an
ordinary arithmetic mean will enhance the common
signal in all the measurements and suppress the
internal variations which are spatially incoherent
(e.g. not caused by CO2 or other external forcings)."

Others such as Prof. Eli Rabett have recently
demonstrated flaws in the arguments and calculations
in that paper.

Cheers,

Santosh

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