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* G * O * A * N * E * T **** C * L * A * S * S * I * F * I * E * D * S *
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Two new showrooms/office spaces, double height (135 sq m each with bath)
for lease in upscale Campal/Miramar beach area, Panaji, Goa.
Contact: goaengineer...@aol.com

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From: "Mario Goveia" <mgov...@sbcglobal.net>
I wonder what Marlon has to say about this contretemps? I'm sure he'll think of something. But one of "the world's top climate modellers", Mojib Latif, an author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change no less, the body that has been insisting that the world is going to hell in a handbasket, is totally confused by the climate and honest enough to admit it.

But Mr. Latif is not giving up. He says the world MAY cool for years to come, but THEN it will get back to what his climate models, unproven and unprovable and speculative formulas that attempt to predict the long term future, have said all along MAY happen.

Thus, according to his school of thought, BECAUSE OF WHAT THEY SAY MAY HAPPEN BUT HAS NOT BEEN HAPPENING SINCE 1998 LIKE THEY SAID IT WOULD, we must continue to turn all the western economies on their heads, while India, China, Russia, Brazil, Mexico and other less developed countries go their merry way, which I have called the growing "smoking section" in a world some would like to see as a "non-smoking world", a.k.a. one in which we stop producing more greenhouse gases which they blame the climate on.

THIS is what passes for akkal in some sophisticated circles.

Tsk, tsk, tsk.

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17742-worlds-climate-could-cool-first-warm-later.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news

Excerpt:

Forecasts of climate change are about to go seriously out of kilter. One of the world's top climate modellers said Thursday we could be about to enter one or even two decades during which temperatures cool.

"People will say this is global warming disappearing," he told more than 1500 of the world's top climate scientists gathering in Geneva at the UN's World Climate Conference.

"I am not one of the sceptics," insisted Mojib Latif of the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University, Germany. "However, we have to ask the nasty questions ourselves or other people will do it."

Few climate scientists go as far as Latif, an author for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But more and more agree that the short-term prognosis for climate change is much less certain than once thought.

***I am glad that scientists are grappling with the problem of uncertainty in scientific matters. The Principle of Uncertainty by Werner Heisenberg in Quantum Physics is well known. What happens in metereology is also happening in medical world: Physicians and surgeons are being confused by cancer epidemiology and Swine Flu (H1N1). It is interesting to read from scientific circles that in 350 BCE, Aristotle wrote "Meteorology" (Meteorologica). Aristotle is considered to be the founder of meteorology. For 2,000 years, no one added anything significant to his findings (Farrand, 1991; Meteorology, Lisa Alter). One of the most impressive achievements described in the Meteorology is the description of what is now known as the hydrologic cycle. If Mario can speak of meteorology, why I cannot speak of medicine and Benedict XVI of ethics in economics and politics?
Regards.
Fr.Ivo





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