Goa watched by nation as small state's polls near, voters seem disinterested

By Frederick Noronha

PANAJI (Goa), May 22: For a change, the small state of Goa is in the focus
of political watchers across India. But interest in the home state is itself
at a low-ebb among the 913,000 odd voters eligible to vote in the May 30
elections.

Defections, the lack of ideology, political corruption, and a BJP government
which lasted 16 months in power mainly on the numbers of MLAs elected to
power as Congressmen has contributed to the cynicism among the average voter.

Smaller regional parties -- like the MGP-UGDP alliance, and the Goa Suraj
Party -- show little signs of being able to take on the clout,
organisational skills and money-power of bigger national parties. 

BJP and Congress are the main contestants for power. But the Nationalist
Congress Party and the Shiv Sena could play the role of major spoilers and
upset the results in some constituencies.

Goa's 40-seat legislative assembly goes in for mid-term elections, after it
was dissolved prematurely in end-February on the advice of chief minister
Manohar Parrikar, who feared a revolt among some legislators from his
Bharatiya Janata Party.

Parrikar-led BJP came to power in October 2000, after defections and
floor-crossings pulled down the government of Francisco Sardinha, a Congress
rebel whom the BJP had itself brought to power around a year prior. 

Travelling around the state indicates voter interest ranging from low to
apathetic. Contesting candidates have hoever been working hard to build up
the tempo mainly using jeeps and vans mounted with loudspeakers, blaring
messages and songs of the varied political parties. 

House-to-house campaigns are also undertaken by candidates in this small
state where constituency sizes average about 20,000 voters each.

"(Congress candidate) Joaquim Alemao is strong here, and there is also
candidate (BJP's) Julio D'Silva," explains a woman-shop owner near the
village square of Chandor, dominated by an imposing church painted white.
Salcete is Goa's only Catholic majority taluka.

BJP which lacks a toehold here has faced charges of propping up regional
parties, particularly the United Goans Democratic Party, to cut into the
Congress' chances.

In places like Shiroda and other parts of the state, which has a Hindu
majority, the battle is clearly between parties like the BJP, or the
regional Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Party (MGP) and the rightwing
saffron-flagged Shiv Sena -- all of which have been trying to garner support
from Hindu voters' support -- and the Congress.

Polls in Goa have long seen voters polarised on the basis of religion. 

But it is not clear how the polarisation of the voter will take place, or
whether most of the vote would remain with the BJP which has dominated state
politics -- with corruption discrediting the Congress, and the BJP also
benefitting from defections in a big way.

BJP's chances could improve if the minorities don't vote in number, either
due to disinterest, cynicism or apathy. 

But there have been many twists in the fortunes of the major combatants for
power, the BJP and the Congress here. 

Initially, till early this year, the BJP rode high on its resurgent image
nationwide. But a number of setbacks at the national level seems to have
turned the tide. In particular, the Gujarat carnage is seen as affecting the
party's chances.

Ironically, Prime Minister Vajpayee's hardline Hindutva speech at Campal
Grounds in Goa, during the party's national executive meet here, was
counter-productive, and played a role in unsettling BJP's deputy chief
minister Ravi Naik.

Naik who had already been allotted a BJP ticket for Ponda, a constituency
with around 4000 Muslims, a significant size in a state where seats have
under 20,000 voters on average. He jumped over to the Congress, while the
nomination process was on, leading to chaos in the BJP who's election
propaganda material already prominently displayed Ravi Naik's photo.

Later on, early in the election campaign, the Congress was seen as riding an
upswing. But the allocation of tickets to a number of controversial and
defection-oriented politicians, in at least one-third of the 40 seats, has
led to considerable disenchantment among its supporters.

"What I'm willing to go on record saying is that I couldn't carry on in the
race for a ticket, simply because I didn't have the money to keep on
fighting," said unsucessful Congress ticket aspirant for state-capital
Panaji, Dr Sushruta Martins.

Congress has faced charges here of having charged huge sums -- allegedly
amounting to Rs 30 lakh in some cases -- from nominees wanting its tickets.

For a change, top-ranking politicians headed down to Goa to campaign for the
BJP and the Congress. For both, this is a prestigious poll. BJP hopes to
reverse the tide after losing four states in a row nationwide. 

But this is not going to be easy. Chief minister Parrikar's image as a pushy
leader who dominated his colleagues, the BJP's role in ditching many of its
allies and defectors who came over to its side, and the 'upper caste' tag
stuck to it during its year-and-half stint in power in Goa are not helping
the party. But the BJP is pulling no stops at attempting a comeback.

BJP's home minister L K Advani, law minister Jaitley, IT minister Pramod
Mahajan, minister Sushma Swaraj, Gopinath Munde and others have made a
beeline to Goa. Congress to has had some of its leaders camping here as
'observers', with others like Delhi CM Sheila Dixit coming in for
campaigning. 'Observers' from Delhi have been camping for many weeks.

For the Congress, a win here could underline its resurgent image, with the
BJP suffering from an anti-incumbent factor nationwide. But its
controversial allocation of tickets is likely to cause disenchantment among
voters, and some here are already predicting a 'hung' assembly, with no
party getting a clear majority.

But, that too, might not stop the Big Two -- BJP and Congress -- from trying
to form their own government with the support of defectors.

Election propaganda has been pushed up in parts of the state, with noisy
vehicles blaring out their messages from late morning, through to the
afternoon, typical siesta-time in parts of the state.

Long motorcades bearing flags and banners of the bigger parties are visible,
with some reports saying those parading flags on their vehicles were getting
paid to do so on a daily-basis, in some cases.

Reports reaching here said in Aldona constituency, some 15 kms from here, a
national party candidate was offering four-wheeler owners Rs.500 per week
and a two-wheeler rider Rs.200 per day if they sport party flag on their
vehicles. 

In Sanvordem, in South Goa, an independent candidate has allegedly offered
around 300 brand new motorbikes to a section of the electorate. The bikes
will be registered in their names only on June 5, after the elections
results are out, said reports in the local media. In Taleigao, a high
profile candidate is wooing the young electorate by offering them mobile
phone sets, persistent reports say. ENDS


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