Praveen Swami is a spokesperson of the police and intelligence establishment
- in the glorious tradition of 'embedded journalists'. He takes obedient
dictation from the RAW!

On 13 April 2010 22:10, venukm <kmvenuan...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Could he be seen  as a serious journalist at all?
>
> On Apr 13, 5:54 pm, Sukla Sen <sukla....@gmail.com> wrote:
> > [Quote
> > The former Punjab Director-General of Police, K.P.S. Gill's signal
> > contribution was demonstrating that alternatives to population-centric
> > counter-insurgency could succeed. Instead of engaging in protracted,
> > large-force operations, Mr. Gill focussed on offensive operations
> targeting
> > the leadership and cadre of Khalistan terrorists. In effect,
> unconventional
> > war-fighting methods were used to defeat unconventional
> > war-fighting methods. Evidence that such tactics work has piled up. In
> Jammu
> > and Kashmir, the Special Operations Group succeeded in decimating the
> > leadership of the Hizb ul-Mujahideen. Andhra Pradesh's Greyhounds
> destroyed
> > a once-powerful Maoist insurgency. Tripura defeated an intractable tribal
> > insurgency.
> > Unquote
> >
> > Praveen Swami is calling for targeted killing of the insurgent leaders
> (and
> > cadres)!
> > Understandably, away from the battlefields. Dragged out of homes or on
> the
> > city streets? A la Mossad!?
> > And deriding Chidambaram for not doing that. For being "conservative"!
> >
> > He proclaims that "Indian forces are losing" - to justify his call for
> > adoption of "unconventional" methods.
> > Evidently the execution of this fiendish call would call for drumming up
> of
> > insane paranoia.
> >
> > If the "democratic" state starts emulating the Maoists, then the state
> loses
> > its legitimacy. Life, in general, radically degrades. Maoist, and such
> > other, armed and systematic violence becomes the only feasible option for
> > protest against state policies and actions.
> > Violence escalates. Gory turns gorier.
> > That's too nauseous.]
> >
> > http://www.hinduonnet.com/2010/04/13/stories/2010041362531000.
> >
> > *For a review of counter-insurgency doctrine*
> >
> > Praveen Swami
> >
> > *Key to India's failure in combating Maoist insurgency is an ahistorical,
> > one-size-fits-all security doctrine.*
> >
> > Eric Hobsbawm wrote: “There is nothing in the purely military pages of
> Mao,
> >
> > Nguyen Giap, Che Guevara or other manuals of guerrilla warfare which a
> > traditional guerrillero or band leader would regard as other than simple
> > common sense.”
> >
> > Last week, after the massacre of 76 police personnel in Dantewada, Union
> > Home Minister P. Chidambaram urged Indians to “remain calm, keep your
> nerve,
> > and do not stray from the carefully chosen course that we have adopted
> since
> > November 2009.”
> >
> > The last of those recommendations may prove profoundly misguided. Few of
> the
> > strategists charged with executing the Minister's ambitious
> counter-Maoist
> > offensive appear to have grasped its doctrinal and tactical demands.
> > Premised on the belief that counter-insurgency campaigns must be
> > population-centric — in other words, dominate territories and thus deny
> > insurgents contact with the population — the strategic foundation of
> India's
> > war against Maoist insurgents is flawed. The bottom line is this: Indian
> > forces are losing. Last year, 312 security personnel were killed to 294
> > Maoists. This year, too, the figures are grim.
> >
> > For centuries, insurgents have known that a superior force can be
> defeated.
> > Napoleon Bonaparte believed that his 1808 occupation of Spain would be a
> > “military promenade.” Instead, France found itself bogged down by a
> > protracted guerrilla struggle that lasted six years and compelled to
> commit
> > three-fifths of its imperial army. Irish insurgents who fought the
> British
> > in 1848 were taught to “decompose the science and system of war.” “The
> force
> > of England,” advised the radical James Lalor, “is entrenched and
> fortified.
> > You must draw it out of position; break up its mass; break its trained
> line
> > of march and manoeuvre; its equal step and serried array.”
> >
> > Much of this would have been familiar to peasant rebels and bandits in
> > India. Back in 1813, Kallua Gujjar led a successful series of raids
> > targeting moneylenders, travellers and police posts in the
> Saharanpur-Dehra
> > Dun belt. His 1,000-strong irregular force was, on one occasion, able to
> > loot a group of some 200 police personnel. Bhil insurgents staged a
> series
> > of revolt between 1820 and 1860 — driven, among other things, by the
> > large-scale expropriation of Adivasi land by the state and growing
> > exploitation by moneylenders. Despite the use of irregular formations
> like
> > James Outram's Bhil Corps and a policy of pacification that involved
> pushing
> > the Adivasis to become settled farmers, the Bhil raids continued for
> > decades.
> >
> > Major-General Akbar Khan, who commanded the Pakistani irregular offensive
> > directed at Srinagar in 1947, described the tactical mindset of such
> > irregular warriors in his memoirs: “One Mahsud tribesman aptly described
> to
> > me their tactics as being like that of the hawk. The hawk flies high in
> the
> > sky, out of danger; he flies round and round until he sees his prey and
> then
> > he swoops down on it for one mighty strike and when he has got his prey,
> he
> > does not wait around, he flies off at once to some far off quiet place
> where
> > he can enjoy what he has got.”
> >
> > Ossified doctrine
> >
> > Key to India's failure in combating Maoist insurgency is an ahistorical,
> > one-size-fits-all security doctrine. In essence, state responses have
> > consisted of pumping in forces for conventional, ground-holding
> operations
> > in the hope of displacing guerrilla forces; maintaining high force levels
> > over sustained periods of time; and, using this military presence to push
> > forward with developmental and political initiatives to deprive
> insurgents
> > of their political legitimacy.
> >
> > Indian counter-insurgency tactics and strategy, Vijendra Singh Jafa
> notes,
> > “have remained fundamentally conservative and traditional, influenced
> > substantially by accounts of British experiences.” Drawing on the British
> > campaign against the Malayan Communist Party, Indian strategists believe
> > that successful counter-insurgency campaigns must focus on winning
> popular
> > support. New work, like that of historian Karl Hack, has shown that the
> back
> > of the Malayan insurgency was, in fact, broken long before Britain set
> about
> > winning hearts and minds. Little of this revisionist literature, though,
> has
> > been studied seriously in Indian military academies.
> >
> > Despite plenty of evidence that population-centric strategies do not work
> > —witness the durability of insurgencies in the northeast and Jammu and
> > Kashmir — the doctrine has never been reappraised.
> >
> > The former Punjab Director-General of Police, K.P.S. Gill's signal
> > contribution was demonstrating that alternatives to population-centric
> > counter-insurgency could succeed. Instead of engaging in protracted,
> > large-force operations, Mr. Gill focussed on offensive operations
> targeting
> > the leadership and cadre of Khalistan terrorists. In effect,
> unconventional
> > war-fighting methods were used to defeat unconventional war-fighting
> > methods. Evidence that such tactics work has piled up. In Jammu and
> Kashmir,
> > the Special Operations Group succeeded in decimating the leadership of
> the
> > Hizb ul-Mujahideen. Andhra Pradesh's Greyhounds destroyed a once-powerful
> > Maoist insurgency. Tripura defeated an intractable tribal insurgency.
> >
> > In a thoughtful 1988 paper for the United States Air Force Airpower
> Research
> > Institute, Dennis Drew noted that counter-insurgency operations called
> for
> > an upturning of military thinking. Military professionals, he wrote,
> believe
> > “that the basic military objective in war is to conduct operations that
> lead
> > to the destruction of the enemy's centre of gravity.” India's policy of
> > pumping company-sized formations into the Maoist heartland, and
> attempting
> > to dominate the territory around them, is one manifestation of this
> > thinking. The problem is successful insurgents have no fixed centre of
> > gravity — no bases that conventional forces may overwhelm.
> >
> > Population-centred counter-insurgency has received renewed legitimacy
> from
> > the apparent success of the U.S. troop surge in Iraq, which was marketed
> as
> > having subdued a growing insurgency. But, as scholar and soldier Gian
> > Gentile has pointed out, the notion that the reduction of insurgent
> violence
> > in Iraq was “primarily the result of American military action is hubris
> run
> > amok.” In fact, Gentile argued, a “combination of brutal attacks by Shia
> > militia in conjunction with the actions of the Iraqi Shia government and
> the
> > continuing persecution by the al-Qaeda against the Sunni community
> convinced
> > the insurgents that they could no longer counter all these forces and it
> was
> > to their advantage to cut a deal with the Americans.”
> >
> > Capacity crisis
> >
> > For many in the Indian intelligentsia, the defeat of insurgents is an
> > inevitability: part, as it were, of the manifest destiny of the state.
> Last
> > week, Shekhar Gupta, editor of Indian Express, offered a ringing
> endorsement
> > of this received wisdom, arguing that insurgencies “follow a pattern
> pretty
> > much like a bell curve,” “The graph of violence,” he argued, “rises in
> the
> > initial period, producing more and more casualties on both sides. But at
> > some stage the rebels come to the realisation that the state and its
> people
> > are too strong and resolute to be ever defeated, no matter what the
> score,
> > in a particular day's battle in a long war. That is the point of
> inflexion
> > when rebels see reason. There is no reason why the Maoist insurgency will
> > not follow that same pattern.”
> >
> > But will it? Back in 1954, when India first committed troops to battling
> > Naga insurgents, just one State was hit by insurgency. Now, 265 of 625
> > districts are affected by one form or the other of chronic conflict — a
> > figure that excludes areas with unacceptably high levels of organised
> crime,
> > as well as cities periodically targeted by jihadist violence. It is far
> from
> > clear if the resources exist to address the problem. Italy has 559 police
> > officers for every 1,00,000 citizens; Bihar has 60, Orissa 97,
> Chhattisgarh
> > 128 and Jharkhand 136. Even the Army, despite its apparently enormous
> size,
> > will be stretched if it is committed to internal security duties. The
> United
> > States has one soldier for every 186 citizens; India has one for 866.
> >
> > Worse, it is far from clear if the Indian state has the capacity needed
> for
> > rapid, transformative projects. The U.S., figures compiled by the
> Institute
> > for Conflict Management's Ajai Sahni show, has 889 federal employees, and
> > 6,314 state and local employees for every 1,00,000 citizens. India's
> Union
> > government has 295 — and if one excludes railway employees, 171.
> > Chhattisgarh has 1,067 government employees per 1,00,000 population;
> Bihar,
> > a pathetic 472.
> >
> > Even if forces are found to saturate the ground, experience shows,
> > development will not necessarily follow. In both Jammu and Kashmir and
> the
> > northeast, state spending has yielded only limited results. Funds have
> often
> > been siphoned off by local contractors and politicians — and, worse,
> preyed
> > on by insurgents. In effect, the injection of cash into troubled regions
> has
> > subsidised insurgency.
> >
> > Learning from its own success stories, India needs to fight insurgencies
> in
> > smarter, leaner ways. Like Andhra Pradesh, States must invest in training
> > facilities that meet their particular needs; expand intelligence
> > capabilities; and use technology effectively. Instead of focussing on
> simply
> > expanding the size of Central forces, the Union government must
> understand
> > the need for them to be properly trained and equipped. Soldiers without
> > skills have only one fate: defeat.
> >
> > In time, it is true, Indian forces may succeed in wearing down the Maoist
> > insurgency, albeit at a horrible cost of lives — but there are reasons to
> > worry that they may not. India's strategic strengths are manifest. But as
> > the work of military scholar Ivan Arreguin-Toft teaches us, the weak do
> > sometimes win. Instead of despatching ever-greater numbers of men to
> support
> > those already flailing in the face of insurgent fire, a dispassionate
> review
> > of both doctrine and tactics is needed.
> >
> > --
> > Peace Is Doable
>
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