http://www.hardnewsmedia.com/2013/09/6045

The Fukushima Factor

*The growing opposition to nuclear projects in India is linked as much to
the livelihood issues of rural people as to the changed realities of a
post-Fukushima world. On both counts, a criminal denial seems to be the
preferred option of the establishment*

*PK Sundaram Delhi*

*At the beginning* of August, Japan’s nuclear regulator was forced to
accept that the radioactive leak from the crippled Fukushima reactors is
‘worse than what was thought’ earlier and the government of Japan
officially took up the clean-up drive. On August 7, the government accepted
that more than 300 tonnes of heavily contaminated water was leaking into
the Pacific Ocean every day. TEPCO, Fukushima’s operator company, admitted
that up to 40 trillion becquerels of contaminated water may have leaked
into the sea since the disaster.

Compare this unnerving development to the Minister of State in the Prime
Minister’s Office (PMO), V Narayanasamy’s nonchalance in the Rajya Sabha on
August 8, when he said that the possible impact on the affected population
is “practically insignificant”. This was in his reply to a
parliamentarian’s question on the disaster preparedness of the Department
of Atomic Energy (DAE). He expressed his confidence in the bumbling
National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), universally discredited for
its abjectly inefficient handling of the recent ecological disaster in
Uttarakhand. In his statement in Parliament, he  quoted selectively from
the conservative reports of the World Health Organisztion (WHO) and the
United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effect of Atomic Radiation
(UNSCEAR), published in February and May this year.

WHO has a 1959 vintage written agreement with the International Atomic
Energy Agency (IAEA), another nuclear promoter body, giving IAEA a veto on
all nuclear-related activities and reporting on nuclear radiation. UNSCEAR
has been widely criticized for underplaying nuclear accidents; in
Chernobyl, it estimated just 64 deaths while WHO suggested 4,000. Later
research in Russia, based on long-term global health surveys between 1986
and 2004, attributed nearly 985,000 deaths to the Chernobyl fallout.

There have been several independent assessments of the potential impact of
the reactor meltdowns in Fukushima which reveal the horrendous extent of
contamination and complete administrative failure even in an ‘advanced’
country like Japan. This has also exposed the diabolical nexus of the
nuclear industry and the political establishment.

*400 tonnes of spent nuclear fuel sitting atop the Reactor No. 4 building
have made it so fragile that another strong earthquake can knock it down.
The 1,300 fuel rods contain 14,000 times the radioactivity which befell
Hiroshima. Scientists are calling this building the most dangerous place on
earth *

The report of the Independent Investigation Commission on the Fukushima
accident, submitted to Japan’s National Diet in July last year, was a
wake-up call. Calling the Fukushima accident “man-made”, the report held
that the “accident was the result of collusion between the government, the
regulators and TEPCO… They effectively betrayed the nation’s right to be
safe from
nuclear accidents”.

More recently, the UN’s Special Rapporteur on the Right to Health, Anand
Grover, penned his report on Fukushima. He scathingly criticized the
Japanese government’s contempt for the people’s right to health. It
underlined the inefficient handling of the evacuation and clean-up process
and inadequate response on serious questions of health, safety and
employment faced by lakhs of Fukushima evacuees who have no hopes of
returning. As Prof Robert Jacobs of the Hiroshima Peace Institute argues,
“Things have not gotten worse at Fukushima, we have just gotten more
clarity about how bad they have been all along.”



*All that TEPCO* did over the last 27 months was to pour cold water in the
melted core of the reactors and the spent fuel storages to prevent further
melting and localized criticality, resulting in accumulation of millions of
gallons of extremely contaminated water. It has built more than 1,000 tanks
that can store 380,000 tonnes of water, but 85 per cent of their capacity
is already used up. Worse, these tanks are leaking and TEPCO has confessed
it has little control over them.

The company has no plans regarding what it will do after three years by
when it seeks to double the water storage capacity. TEPCO has tried
extremely desperate measures over the past few months to prevent this water
from passing into the sea — sinking an 800-metre-long steel barrier along
the coastline, injecting the ground with solidifying chemicals, and
freezing the ground. Not one of these desperate measures has helped.

However, the worst is yet to come. The Fukushima reactors’ elevated
position, that was supposed to provide them an additional layer of safety,
is itself posing a risk as the huge amount of leaking water is threatening
to soften the ground beneath and could topple the reactors and unleash an
unimaginable catastrophe. In addition, the 400 tonnes of spent nuclear fuel
sitting atop the Reactor No. 4 building have made it so fragile that
another strong earthquake can knock it down. The 1,300 fuel rods contain
14,000 times the radioactivity which befell Hiroshima after the atomic
bombing. Scientists are calling this building the most dangerous place on
earth.

TEPCO has started removing this spent fuel, a process fraught with heavy
risk. Reactor No. 4 was closed down for maintenance when the earthquake
struck on March 11, 2011, but if anything goes wrong, the spent fuel pools
would cause a bigger havoc than Chernobyl and
Fukushima combined.

The lesson to be drawn from the Fukushima accident is transparent. Be it
the zirconium cladding on the radioactive fuel that led to hydrogen blasts
when it touched water, or the elevated point now threatening a major
escalation, the nuclear power technology is so complex that a component or
system designed for increased safety can turn into vulnerability when an
out-of-design situation strikes. The third-generation safety mechanisms,
much touted by the nuclear industry globally, are nothing but several
layers of these independent and complementary safety features — defence in
depth, as it is called. As seen in Fukushima, more safety layers might not
be a guarantee of safety and in various circumstances might collide with
each other and lead to unforeseen vulnerabilities.

However, the nuclear promoters’ obsession with a narrow, engineer’s notion
of safety, prevents them from a comprehensive view of nuclear safety. More
than its probability, actually, the unique, irreversible and long-term
consequences of a nuclear accident make it unacceptable.

Indeed, in India, the government and mainstream media’s view of the
post-Fukushima world is based on a pathological myopia. The
under-estimation of danger is not a recent invention. In the initial week
after the Fukushima accident, on March 14, 2011, when reactors were
exploding in Japan, the Nuclear Power Corporation of India Limited’s
(NPCIL) Managing Director, SK Jain, and the then Atomic Energy Commission
(AEC) Chairman, Srikumar Banerjee, said in a press conference in Mumbai
that there was no nuclear accident in Fukushima and all that was happening
was just a well-planned emergency preparedness programme. Later that year,
the DAE asserted that the chance for a nuclear accident in India is zero —
“one in infinity”.

The mechanical denials have seeped into the entire system now. The recent
Supreme Court judgment on Koodankulam also suffers from the same
anachronism. Going through its 250 pages, most of which are long verbatim
quotes from Atomic Energy Regulatory Board (AERB) safety manuals for
pressurized heavy water reactors while the Koodankulam reactors are of an
entirely different design, one can only wonder if the Fukushima accident
ever happened. Justice Dipak Misra simply dismissed apprehensions of
far-reaching consequences of radioactive effects as having “no basis”! The
judgment says: “Nobody on the earth can predict what would happen in future
and to a larger extent we have to leave it to the destiny …apprehension is
something we anticipate with anxiety or fear, a fearful anticipation, which
may vary from person to person.”

The truth is, Indian nuclear expansion is taking place in complete denial
of the real and insurmountable risks inherent in nuclear technology, as
revealed by the Fukushima disaster. Besides, every form of democratic
dissent and even the government’s own norms are being bulldozed by this
one-dimensional nuclear obsession. In August, the DAE joined political
parties in demanding exemption from the Right to Information (RTI).
Interestingly, it said that its “international commitments” require strict
confidentiality!

The DAE has refused to share the Site Evaluation Report with the local
people in Koodankulam and has dodged questions on liability provisions
against its Russian suppliers in case of an accident. While the supplier
company Zio-Podolsk is facing criminal investigation in Russia and one of
its directors has been jailed for supplying sub-standard equipment, the
reactor has been given the green signal in brazen negligence of this
crucial development in India.



*Not just safety  *issues, the Indian government has completely overlooked
the steady global decline of nuclear power which has predated Fukushima.
Worldwide, the nuclear industry reached its peak in 2006 with a total
installed capacity of 2,660 Twh before dropping by 12 per cent in 2012 to
2,346 Twh. In terms of its share in the overall electricity generation,
nuclear power crossed its global peak in 1993 with 17 per cent contribution
while the same in 2012 was a little more than 10 per cent (source: World
Nuclear Industry Status Report 2013).

*In MP, the administration was forced to postpone the public hearing on
July 31 on the environmental impact assessment of the Chutka nuclear power
station a second consecutive time when thousands of people came out in
protest*

 While the adverse economics of nuclear power is the main reason for its
decline, the nuclear industry is pegging its hopes on countries like India
and China which can subsidise both reactors and nuclear accidents from
public money. India remains blind to this reality by choice because its
rulers have promised to buy reactors under a deal in which they have
bargained away the Indian people’s safety for a seat in the ‘elite club’ of
nuclear weapon states.

 The Supreme Court’s verdict on Koodankulam also seemingly went along with
the official view that renewable sources provide only a small share of our
total electricity. On the contrary, even today, renewables account for 15
per cent of the total installed capacity, which is actually six times more
than the share of nuclear power.

 Not surprisingly, scores of eminent policy experts and independent
scientists have come out in support of people’s agitations in various parts
of India against proposed nuclear power projects. Undeterred by the setback
in Koodankulam, these movements are intensifying, from Jaitapur to Chutka
and Mithi Virdi.

 In Madhya Pradesh, the administration was forced to postpone the public
hearing on July 31 on the environmental impact assessment of the proposed
Chutka nuclear power station a second consecutive time when thousands of
people came out in protest. In the same week, an Indian People’s Charter on
Nuclear Energy was adopted by representatives of all grassroots
anti-nuclear movements in a national convention organized in Ahmedabad. The
protesters from all over the country also visited Mithi Virdi in Gujarat
for a protest meeting of villagers who have been relentlessly opposing the
proposed US-imported reactors.

 Evidently, the growing opposition to nuclear projects in India is linked
as much to the livelihood issues of the rural people as to the changed
realities of a post-Fukushima world. On both counts, a criminal denial
seems to be the preferred option of the establishment.

*The author is Research Consultant with the Coalition for Nuclear
Disarmament and Peace (CNDP).*


>From the print issue of Hardnews :
 SEPTEMBER 2013 <http://www.hardnewsmedia.com/issue/september-2013>




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