http://ummid.com/news/2013/September/12.09.2013/design-behind-bjp-battle-for-delhi.html

So this is how BJP wants to win battle for Delhi
Thursday September 12, 2013 12:32 PM , Aijaz Zaka Syed

EVERYBODY loves a good riot and there is almost always a political angle to
it. The more desperate the politicians the deadlier the concoction of
rumors, hearsay and pure spite gets. As the game of thrones enters the
decisive phase in India, politicians are turning to these time-tested and
shortest ways to electoral windfall.

In spite of all the progress India has made over the past few years and
decades in economic terms and other ways as a nation state, it's amazing
how little it takes for us to revert to our basic instincts. A minor
misunderstanding here and a little rumor there is all it takes to wreck
long years of peace and close ties.

In the breathless run up to Narendra Modi's anointment as the hope and
future of the great republic, we have been repeatedly assured by pundits
and rightly of course that most Indians are essentially peace-loving and
tolerant by nature and would never allow an egotistical hawk with a bloody
history to lead them.

We're told that only an electoral miracle or extreme religious
polarization, like the one witnessed during the Ayodhya upheavals in the
1980s and '90s could get the BJP or its prime ministerial hopeful past the
post.

Even under Vajpayee, a much popular leader with a national appeal because
of his relatively liberal image, it took the BJP much political jugglery to
come within the striking distance of Delhi. Its best performance till date
is 183 seats, in 1999 way short of the 272- majority mark. The post
liberalization, 21st century India, it is argued, has moved beyond the
cynical mandir-masjid politics.

Indians today are more concerned about bread-and-butter issues, rather than
obsess over a temple. Repeatedly conned and exploited over such brazenly
expedient issues, people are wiser today.

But are they really? As reports of the madness in Muzaffarnagar, a sleepy
district in Uttar Pradesh, the country's most populous and politically
critical province, pour in and death toll continues to mount amidst the
army's presence, I am not so sure. It is like yesterday once again as
politicians hurl the country back in time — in the last century.

The politicians wanted a communal conflagration and the state that sends
the largest number of lawmakers to Parliament and is home to the largest
Muslim population in the country, has delivered once again. Everybody loves
a good riot.

A besieged minority being hunted and chased like animals out of villages
and towns; Muslim homes, businesses and mosques being burnt as an
ineffective, indifferent administration looks on; what is different? We
have been here before.

And this is the government of a party that is accused of Muslim
appeasement. In fact, since Samajwadi Party returned to power under
Akhilesh Yadav, the young son of party chief Mulayam Singh Yadav last year,
UP has seen hundreds of riots.

As the 'battle 2014' heats up, a desperate BJP led by an even more
desperate Modi appears hell-bent on raising communal tempers. Without
sharply dividing the nation along religious lines, the prospects of
capturing Delhi aren't too bright despite all the help from Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh.

Defying the media's perpetual polishing and brushing up of the legend of
Narendra Modi the messiah and the middle classes' longing for a no-nonsense
knight in a shining armor, his past is catching up with the Gujarat satrap.
The noose appears to tighten, ever so slowly.

As if all those court cases about the 2002 pogrom and sordid details about
a series of staged killings of Muslims weren't enough, jailed top cop
Vanzara, who presided over all those killings, has begun to sing like a
canary.

No wonder Modi is getting impatient for a formal nomination as BJP's prime
ministerial candidate. On the other hand, this is precisely why many in the
BJP, including its tallest leader Advani and popular face Sushma Swaraj, do
not cherish the idea. They fear that with Modi at the helm, the party would
be politically isolated and may not muster the required numbers.

Already, most of the BJP allies including the Janata Dal United have
abandoned it over Modi's leadership. Even Shiv Sena isn't excited about the
proposition. The National Democratic Alliance has thus been reduced to the
BJP and Akali Dal.

Under the circumstances, a storm of communal passions and obtaining
polarization is what the Hindutva party is hoping to cook up. Ironically,
this is why the Congress too is looking forward to an early declaration of
Modi's candidature for the top job.

Deeply unpopular over corruption, inflation and the mess on economic front,
the Congress hopes that the idea of 'PM Modi' would scare the voters,
especially minorities, into its arms.
One suspects that the wily Mulayam, exploiting Muslims at every
opportunity, is hoping to achieve the same in UP. He also nurses the
ambition of ruling from Delhi in the event of a third alternative to the
Congress and BJP becoming a reality. Else a government endlessly paying
tributes to secularism wouldn't sit around while the state is ravaged by
riot after riot.

Meanwhile, it's ordinary people who become the cannon fodder in this
cynical game of power. The Muzaffarnagar riot, easily the bloodiest since
Gujarat 11 years ago, isn't therefore an isolated incident. A method in the
madness is apparent.

It's part of the pattern that has been emerging in UP and elsewhere in the
country over the past few months. It's no coincidence that nearly two
decades after the demolition of the Babri Masjid and months before the
general elections, the VHP and other rabble-rousers have woken up to their
promise to build a temple.

The elaborate VHP show in Ayodhya last month in the presence of
saffron-clad 'sants' and sadhus amidst loud protestations about Muslim
appeasement, Hindu pride and Mughal rule over mother India was
frighteningly familiar. It's as though we are back in those terrifying
times and it's as if India has stood still all these years.

In the run up to the latest of VHP antics, Prashant Panday wrote in the
Times of India: "Nothing sounds correct about this yatra. Here's what is
likely to happen. There will be violence in UP. A few innocents could die.
The government will be shown to be the villain. TV channels will amplify
the violence. It will make every Hindu sit up and take note.

"Every Hindu will feel the only savior is the BJP and vote for the party.
That's what the plan is. It happened that way following 1992. The (VHP)
yatra is tailor-made to help the BJP. For the SP and Congress, it's a
no-win situation. All in all, this is a political masterstroke, one that is
bound to succeed for the BJP."

So, Muzaffarnagar may just be the beginning. There could be more fireworks
on Modi's way to Delhi. Interestingly, BJP's Hukum Singh, facing charges
over his role in Muzaffarnagar, in media interviews recounted his own
horror at the 'rage' seen at last week's massive gathering of Jats,
traditionally close to Muslims. "I've never seen anything like this before
and it was very disturbing," Singh told NDTV's Srinivasan Jain.

Many in the 150,000-strong crowd brandished guns, swords, knives and
sticks, shouting slogans against 'injustice to Hindus' and, interestingly,
cheering for Modi. It was as if UP had become Gujarat overnight. "The Jats
have turned Hindus," declared BJP vice-president Satpal Malik.

So it's all nicely playing out according to the script. Various saffron
outfits successfully are enacting their respective roles in one grand,
flawless design. And the BJP is ready to reap its bitter harvest, once
again. Who cares what it would entail for the wellbeing and stability of
this complex land of myriad, competing identities! It's a small price to
pay for power.

Aijaz Zaka Syed is a Gulf based commentator. The above article was first
published by Arab News.


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Peace Is Doable

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