http://thewire.in/2015/05/14/when-your-backyard-snakes-turn-around-to-bite-you/

When Your Backyard Snakes Turn Around to Bite You
BY BEENA SARWAR ON 14/05/2015
as

Wednesday's targeted attack in Karachi on a bus full of Ismaili Shia
Muslim families, killing 45 of the 60 passengers, is one in a long
line of such incidents in Pakistan. This sub-community has been
targeted in Pakistan before, in the northern areas where more than
half of the Ismailis live, but never ever in the country's financial
hub where they have a huge and historic stake, including several
charitable institutions that serve the larger community beyond their
own.

The recent carnage had echoes of the 2012 attacks in the north-west
when, on more than one occasion, men wearing uniforms of security
personnel stopped buses plying between Islamabad and Gilgit, and shot
dead passengers after identifying them as Shia.

The six Karachi gunmen had done a thorough reconnaissance of the times
and routes of the pink community shuttle which transports Ismailis
from a gated community to their Jamat Khana (religious centre) at
Ayesha Manzil in Gulberg Town, a solidly middle class area in northern
Karachi. For security reasons, the bus lets no one on or off along the
way. But the assailants were in police uniforms, which is presumably
why the driver stopped when they waved it down at Safoora Chowk 13 km
from Ayesha Manzil. Four of the attackers boarded it and opened fire
with handguns, shooting many victims in the head.

"One of them shouted, 'kill them all!' Then they started
indiscriminately firing," said a survivor.

They also killed the bus driver. A wounded passenger drove the
bloodied bus, nearly two thirds of its passengers already dead, to a
nearby hospital.

"I saw this coming," says Karim Karimbhai, a medical doctor from the
Ismaili community whose grandfather Amirali Fancy is considered one of
Pakistan's founding fathers. "I wondered when it would happen."

The latest attack stems from a trajectory traceable to the 1980s since
the first Afghan war. America, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan - then under
the military dictatorship of General Zia-ul Haq - partnered to produce
the 'mujahideen' or Muslim holy warriors to fight the Soviets in
Afghanistan.

The militants they cultivated imbibed a 'Takfiri' ideology (terming
other Muslims as non-Muslims or apostates) stemming from an extremist
Wahabi mindset. It was then that slogans terming Shia Muslims as
infidels -- "Kafir Kafir, Shia Kafir" -- first began appearing as
graffiti on public transport and walls.

Many advantages of 'mujaheedin'

One of the side-benefits of these fighters, as Pakistan's security
establishment saw it, was their alignment with insurgents in
Indian-administered Kashmir, a disputed territory that Pakistan
claims. Plus they provided Pakistan with "strategic depth" in
Afghanistan on the western border.

But as Hillary Clinton famously said in October 2011, "You can't keep
snakes in your backyard and expect them only to bite your neighbours."

After the war, the mujahideen morphed into the Taliban that filled the
power vacuum in Afghanistan in the 1990s. Saudi petrodollars continued
to finance religious seminaries or madrassahs in Pakistan, churning
out indoctrinated cadres that militant groups find easy to scoop up.

Meanwhile, the Taliban and Pakistan's homegrown 'jihadis' (holy
warriors) splintered into a multi-headed Hydra. One offshoot is
Jundullah that claimed responsibility for Wednesday's carnage. Linked
to the Pakistani Taliban, in November Jundullah pledged allegiance to
the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (IS), as several splinter
groups have done.

Jundullah also claimed to be behind the ambush shooting of Debra Lobo,
an American married to a Pakistani. The mother of two, who was vice
principal at a medical school and had lived in Karachi for 25 years,
survived her injuries. Leaflets claimed that the attack was carried
out on behalf of IS.

Jundullah and the Taliban have also claimed responsibility for the
latest attack. Urdu and English pamphlets left on the Ismaili bus
purportedly issued by a group calling itself the Daulatul Islamiyya
Baaqiya claim the "Advent of the Islamic State," promise more such
acts, and blame Shias for "barbaric atrocities... in the Levant, Iraq
and Yemen".

Blowback from the Gulf has been expected since Pakistani lawmakers
took an unprecedented stand against Saudi Arabia's demand for ground
troops and aircraft for the war against Shia Houthi rebels in Yemen.
Parliament on April 10 unanimously voted to stay out of the war,
angering the six-nation Arab Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) that
Pakistan is financially indebted to.

Long list of targeted attacks

The scene where terrorists attacked a bus carrying Ismaili Muslims in
Karachi. Credit: PTI
The scene where terrorists attacked a bus carrying Ismaili Muslims in
Karachi. Credit: PTI
Wednesday's tragedy is not the first or the worst attack on Shias in
Karachi, although it was the first time that the Ismaili Shias
sub-sect was so targeted in Pakistan's largest city.

Security agencies have consistently allowed extremist groups to
flourish in the city for one reason or another. From expanding jihad
to cutting down their own political creation, the Muttahida Qaumi
Movement (MQM), religio-militant forces have many uses. Para-military
forces now seem to be focusing on cutting the MQM down to size when
they should be doing more to curb hate speech and the activities of
known extremist groups in the city, including those believed to have
links with Al Qaeda, as the well known defence analyst Ayesha Siddiqa
points out.

She says that more than the MQM, security forces need to act against
the religio-political parties like Jamiat-Ulema Islam of Fazlur
Rehman, JUI-F, that JUI-F, which has 15 seats in Pakistan's
parliament. "Militants know how to hide behind the JUI-F, a major
umbrella for them," she says.

Such religio-political parties also provide the narrative that
justifies attacks on Pakistan's minority and non-mainstream Muslim
communities. The list of such incidents is a long one and includes the
bombing of a predominantly Shia apartment complex in Karachi's Abbas
Town in March 2013. The virulently anti-Shia Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ)
claimed responsibility for the bombing that claimed over 50 lives.

LeJ emerged in 1996 when its leadership split from the
Anjuman-e-Sipah-e-Sahaba (ASS, later re-named Sipah-e-Sahaba Pakistan,
SSP). LeJ frequently targets Shias, including Shia Hazaras, an ethnic
minority originating in Afghanistan, also persecuted by the Taliban.
They attack buses carrying Shia Hazaras as well as Shia localities in
Balochistan, besides targeting Shia professionals, particularly
doctors, in Karachi and other cities. LeJ was also involved in the
murder of American journalist Daniel Pearl in 2002.

Freelance militants

The many freelance militants now operating in Pakistan may have their
distinctions and differences but they agree that Shias are 'kafir'
along with Ahmadis. Pakistan's Second Amendment of 1974, the country's
first 'takfiri' piece of legislation, constitutionally declared
Ahmadis as non-Muslim.

The militants also share a common goal, to establish an "Islamic
state" along the lines of the Taliban's in Afghanistan - similar to
Saudi Arabia in terms of how women and minorities are treated and
transgressions punished.

After Pakistan's security establishment began selectively targeting
militant groups over the last decade or so, the militants turned
against the state, attacking high profile symbols- a police academy,
naval and air force bases, a mosque in an army cantonment, to name
some.

The Pakistani Taliban claimed the massacre of nearly 150 school
children and teachers at an army public school in Peshawar on December
16, 2014 in retaliation for the army operation against them.

In January, Junduallah bombed an Imambargah (Shia mosque) in
Shikarpur, in Sindh province of which Karachi is the capital. In
February, the Pakistani Taliban bombed an Imambargah in Peshawar,
capital of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province.

Earlier, both the Taliban and Jundullah claimed the suicide attack of
November 3, 2014 at Wagah border, the only road crossing between India
and Pakistan and an important trading point between the two countries.
The bombing followed the daily flag-lowering ceremony that dozens of
spectators attend, killing nearly 60 onlookers on the Pakistan side.

Jundullah also claimed responsibility for the September 2013 suicide
bombing of the All Saints' Church in Peshawar that killed over 120
worshippers attending mass.

The first attack on Ismailis in Karachi in Pakistan's south comes some
four decades after the first attack on the community in the
picturesque north-west area of Chitral, Gilgit and Baltistan in the
1980s. The completion of the Karakoram Highway in 1979 by China and
Pakistan connected the previously inaccessible region, where over half
of Pakistan's 2.5 million Ismailis live, to mainland Pakistan and
China. It also allowed the militants to start making inroads.

Trouble began brewing in the early 1980s. The worst incident took
place in 1988, when, following rumours that Shias had massacred Sunni
Muslims, thousands of armed tribesmen from the south attacked Shias in
Gilgit. The killed nearly 400 Shias and burnt several villages.

A game changer

The May 13, 2015 attack may well prove to be a game-changer in
Pakistan. The Ismailis' spiritual head, the urbane Prince Karim Aga
Khan, is an internationally respected figure who generally keeps a low
media profile. Aga Khan foundations and trusts run educational
institutes, microfinance, cultural and heritage programmes, charity
trusts, maternity homes and hospitals in Pakistan.

Prince Karim's advice to his community is, "Work, not words" - show
the good that you do through your deeds, not by talking about them.
His response to the massacre at Safoora Chowk, issued through a press
statement, has been characteristically muted.

The Chief of Army Staff cancelled a trip to Sri Lanka to rush to
Karachi; the Prime Minister headed over too. They have personally
condoled with Prince Karim and other community leaders.

Blaming RAW

But following this tragedy, as in the aftermath of other such
incidents, as public outrage surges, a narrative begins doing the
rounds about India's involvement in the violence. "It is RAW (India's
Research and Analysis Wing) that is behind the attack," comes the
pronouncement from various mouthpieces in the media. But not
everyone's buying it.

If RAW is behind this, and other such carnage in Pakistan, it hardly
puts Pakistan's own security agencies in a very favourable light.

Plus, "how long will we shy away from reality?" asks Karimbhai. What
is happening, he says, is "a war, a metastatic cancer coming out of
Saudi-funded Wahabiism."

Pakistan has a democratically elected government, but the security
establishment is more fully entrenched than ever before as a political
power. In this climate, civil society members feel the pinch as
alternative public narratives are countered with allegations of
"traitor" and "infidel" perpetuated through mainstream as well as
social media.

Many rail at the civilian government's inefficacy in curbing militancy
but Siddiqa urges more nuance, warning against a simplistic approach.

When we criticise the political government especially the Prime
Minister let's not forget that the COAS is an equal partner, if not a
bigger actor in this heinous game of violence," she suggests. "It's
like in a highly patriarchal system when the patriarch imposes a
choice on his family, for those in a subordinate position the only
option is to adjust with the choice even if they don't like it. If you
want to continue living in the house, you'll make adjustments to get
along at least in public".

Given that the real power in Pakistan is the army, should India even
bother talking to the elected government?

Yes, insist Pakistanis pushing for the democratic political process to
continue. India and other countries must not legitimise the military's
role in politics by bypassing the elected government.

"For its protection, India must strengthen its defences," says
Siddiqa. "But I tell my friends in India, you must talk to the
government because you don't really have a choice, and in the hope
that the hearts and minds will change some day. Don't stop talking."

The scene where terrorists gunmen a bus carrying Ismaili Muslims in
Karachi (Credit: PTI)
The scene where terrorists gunmen a bus carrying Ismaili Muslims in
Karachi (Credit: PTI)
Turning things around includes re-vamping the education policy, a
process that has begun -- and is already under attack by the religious
right wing. Recently, the respected Pakistani educationist Bernadette
Dean, who was implementing changes to the curriculum in Sindh
province, was forced to flee the country after receiving threats to
her life. The government must move to isolate, arrest, charge and
punish those behind these threats and show that it means business when
it comes to implementing policy changes and rule of law.

However long it takes and however many bumps - where innocent blood is
shed, sadly -- there are along the way, Pakistan must stay the course.
A continuation of the democratic political process is the only way
forward. There are no short cuts and no magic wands.

[This piece has been edited after initial publication to add more
context and detail]

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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