http://www.hindustantimes.com/business-news/economic-slowdown-is-real-not-just-technical-sbi-research/story-ba6a65Be3wxQbcHN0EMXRK.html

Economic slowdown is real, not just technical: SBI Research
The note comes days after BJP president Amit Shah attributed the slowdown
-- GDP growth slid for the sixth quarter in a row to hit a three-year low
at 5.7% in the June quarter-- to “technical reasons” without elaborating on
the same.

BUSINESS Updated: Sep 19, 2017 15:52 IST

Press Trust of India, Mumbai

A shopkeeper arranges goods on a shelf inside his shop . An SBI Research
report admitted that after the 2008 global credit crisis, there was a surge
in spending, but was unequivocal in not paying much heed to the rating
agencies
A shopkeeper arranges goods on a shelf inside his shop . An SBI Research
report admitted that after the 2008 global credit crisis, there was a surge
in spending, but was unequivocal in not paying much heed to the rating
agencies(AFP)
Noting that the economy has been on a downslide since September 2016, SBI
Research said on Tuesday the slowdown is real and not technical, and called
for more public spending to arrest the slide.

“We certainly believe that we are in a slowdown mode since September 2016
and a slowdown that has been prolonged to Q1 of this fiscal year is
technically not short-term in nature or even transient,” SBI Research said
in a report.

The report said continuing slowdown has “raised the spectre of whether
slowdown is temporary or not” but stopped short of answering the question.

The note comes days after BJP president Amit Shah attributed the slowdown
-- GDP growth slid for the sixth quarter in a row to hit a three-year low
at 5.7% in the June quarter-- to “technical reasons” without elaborating on
the same.

Shah had said growth had gone up to 7.1% after falling to 4.7% in FY14 when
the UPA was in power.

The report advocated upping of spends by the government as a solution to
the problem at hand. “Need of the hour is to spend to grow more,” it said.

“We believe the government should consciously expand spending and fiscal
deficit, without disturbing the borrowing maths,” the report said.

It can be noted that in the past, such moves by the government were termed
as “fiscal profligacy” by rating agencies, which had also threatened to
downgrade the country’s rating to junk if the Centre continued with such
policies.

The report admitted that after the 2008 global credit crisis, there was a
surge in spending, but was unequivocal in not paying much heed to the
rating agencies.

“Let’s not chase the rating upgrade mirage. India has had a solitary net
rating upgrade in the last 25 years. The economy is in urgent need of a
fiscal push now to shore up growth,” the report said.

The government can use a clause in the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget
Management Act that provides for a 0.5 per cent slip in fiscal deficit
targets, it said.

Elaborating on how to keep the net borrowings in check, like the way the
government has done in the current fiscal at Rs 3.4 trillion, it
recommended the government to do more buybacks and switches in G-secs.

It also called for exploring the short-term borrowing route more, saying “
short term borrowings could be increased from the current levels, as
movements in short-term rates depend crucially on liquidity.”

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