[《Estimated unemployment rate shot up to a 27-month high of 7.38 per cent
in December 2018 and the numbers of those employed fell by 1.09 crore over
the last 12 months from 40.78 crore employed in December 2017 to 39.69
crore in December 2018.

These are the estimates provided by CMIE database on “Unemployment Rate in
India” that is based on the panel size of over 1,58,000 households. The
CMIE data, however, also shows that alongside the rise in unemployment,
there has been a dip in the labour participation rate.
...
According to the CMIE data, the estimated labour participation rate came
down to 42.47 in December 2018 from 43.57 in December 2017. It however,
stood at 45.15 in December 2016 and at 47.84 in September 2017.》]

https://indianexpress.com/article/business/economy/unemployment-rate-rises-to-27-month-high-labour-participation-goes-down-5525901/?fbclid=IwAR2QQu-1JeCi-H__8bf9C1cbGoHLBZvtmWZbhw-XAt5eA4kgeMnfHVX5F_E

‘Unemployment rate rises to 27-month high; labour participation goes down’
This is also the highest unemployment rate since September 2016 when it
stood at a high of 8.46%

By ENS Economic Bureau |New Delhi |

Updated: January 7, 2019 7:39:54 am

‘Unemployment rate rises to 27-month high; labour participation goes down’
A closer look at the numbers show that a large part of the drop in
employment over the last 12-months is on account of job losses in rural
areas.

Estimated unemployment rate shot up to a 27-month high of 7.38 per cent in
December 2018 and the numbers of those employed fell by 1.09 crore over the
last 12 months from 40.78 crore employed in December 2017 to 39.69 crore in
December 2018.

These are the estimates provided by CMIE database on “Unemployment Rate in
India” that is based on the panel size of over 1,58,000 households. The
CMIE data, however, also shows that alongside the rise in unemployment,
there has been a dip in the labour participation rate.

Also Read: 1 crore jobs lost in 2018 due to faulty govt policies: Congress

The unemployment rate in December 2018 shot up to 7.38 per cent from 6.62
per cent in November 2018 and 4.78 per cent in December 2017. This is also
the highest unemployment rate since September 2016 when it stood at a high
of 8.46 per cent.

A closer look at the numbers show that a large part of the drop in
employment over the last 12-months is on account of job losses in rural
areas. Of the total drop of 1.09 crore jobs in calendar 2018, 91.4 lakh or
over 83 per cent of the jobs were lost in the rural areas, shows the
database.

[Chart]

The number of those employed in rural areas dropped from 26.94 crore in
December 2017 to 26.03 crore in December 2018. The remaining 17.9 lakh jobs
were lost in the urban areas as the overall numbers of employed fell from
13.84 crore to 13.66 crore.

However, in line with a dip in the unemployment rate, the CMIE data shows
that there has been a dip in the estimated labour participation rate —
proportion of working-age people (which is people of 15 years or more) who
are willing to work and are either actually working or are actively looking
for work.

According to the CMIE data, the estimated labour participation rate came
down to 42.47 in December 2018 from 43.57 in December 2017. It however,
stood at 45.15 in December 2016 and at 47.84 in September 2017.

In an article in October 2018, Mahesh Vyas, MD and CEO of CMIE wrote, “In
my opinion, the LPR is more important than the unemployment rate because it
tells us how many people are willing to work.”

He further said that while a high LPR directly contributes to growth, if a
very small proportion of people are willing to work then a low unemployment
rate does not mean much. Data shows that while the trend in urban and rural
areas have been broadly the same in calendar 2018, it was contrasting in
calendar 2017.

While the urban regions witnessed an overall increase in the number of
employed by 35.5 lakh, the rural areas witnessed over 10 lakh job losses in
2017 too.

In 2018, while the pace of job losses only gained momentum in rural areas,
the urban parts too witnessed job losses.

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