:Issued: 2003 Aug 14 1201 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)
SIDC URSIGRAM 30814 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Aug 2003, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 14 Aug 2003 until 16 Aug 2003) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Aug 2003 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 019 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Aug 2003 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 013 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Aug 2003 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are quiet. The solar wind velocity has decayed to 560 km/s and is slowly decreasing further. For the next days geomagnetic conditions should remain quiet. Various C-flares have occurred in group 96 (NOAA 0431), the largest one was a long duration C7.2 flare. The emission from group 96 has pushed the X-ray background up to C-level. Therefore we expect several C-flares with a good chance for an M-flare. SOLAR INDICES FOR 13 Aug 2003 SUNSPOT INDEX : 132 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 131 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 025 AK WINGST : 017 ESTIMATED AP : 019 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE NONE 73, Thomas F. Giella Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster C/S KN4LF 4208 Thackery Way Plant City, FL, USA 33566 EL87WX SWFWMD Rainfall Observer #574 NWS Tampa Bay, FL Skywarn Spotter #HIL-249 Florida Space & Atmospheric Weather Institute: http://www.kn4lf.com/fsawi.htm KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm KN4LF 160 Meter Amateur Radio Resources & More: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf.htm Friend Website Design Studio: http://www.kn4lf.com --- Outgoing mail is certified Virus Free Thanks To Grisoft AVG. Checked by AVG anti-virus system (http://www.grisoft.com). Version: 6.0.509 / Virus Database: 306 - Release Date: 8/12/2003 ---[Start Commercial]--------------------- World Radio TV Handbook 2003 is out! Order it now! http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0823059677/hardcoredxcom ---[End Commercial]----------------------- ________________________________________ Hard-Core-DX mailing list [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://dallas.hard-core-dx.com/mailman/listinfo/hard-core-dx http://www.hard-core-dx.com/ _______________________________________________ THE INFORMATION IN THIS ARTICLE IS FREE. It may be copied, distributed and/or modified under the conditions set down in the Design Science License published by Michael Stutz at http://dsl.org/copyleft/dsl.txt