wow! that is huge. Can I ask your source for the calculation in case my boss wants to verify the data?

----- Original Message ----- From: "nobozoz" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "The Hardware List" <hardware@hardwaregroup.com>
Sent: Thursday, July 20, 2006 5:02 PM
Subject: RE: [H] Odds calculator


Your chance of drawing 12 white balls consecutively without drawing a single
red ball is about 1 in 15,879,054.

Odds_of_success =  1 / [ ((68-0)/(254-0)) * ((68-1)/(254-1)) * ... *
((68-(n-1))/(254-(n-1)) ] ; where n=12 samples.

_jim


-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Veech
Sent: Thursday, July 20, 2006 1:35 PM
To: The Hardware List
Subject: [H] Odds calculator


I need to figure out the odds, or probability, of something happening.

Say there are 254 ping pong balls are mixed in a bag where 68 of them are
red and the other 186 are white. So, 27% of the balls are red. Someone who
is blindfolded reaches into the bag twelve times and selects one ping pong
ball each time.  What are the odds that all 12 ping-pong balls will be
white?

can anyone point me to an odds/probability calculator that will help me
establish the percentages on this?  Or is anyone adept at this type of
calculation that can answer this question?

thanks


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