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https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/HDFS-2535?page=com.atlassian.jira.plugin.system.issuetabpanels:comment-tabpanel&focusedCommentId=13143369#comment-13143369
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Tsz Wo (Nicholas), SZE commented on HDFS-2535:
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+1 great work!
                
> A Model for Data Durability
> ---------------------------
>
>                 Key: HDFS-2535
>                 URL: https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/HDFS-2535
>             Project: Hadoop HDFS
>          Issue Type: Task
>          Components: documentation
>            Reporter: Robert Chansler
>            Assignee: Robert Chansler
>         Attachments: LosingBlocks.xlsx
>
>
> This is a statistical model considering data durability in HDFS in the 
> presence of Data Node failures. The attached spreadsheet considers the 
> probability of losing a block with three replicas in the case of uncorrelated 
> failures of DNs. Also included is a section that looks at the consequences of 
> simultaneous failures. 
> The model parameters reflect experience at Yahoo with a large cluster. But it 
> is easy to change the parameters in the spreadsheet. Number of replicas is 
> not a easily adjusted parameter. And while published reports (the Google 
> papers) suggest that node failures are not really uncorrelated, this does 
> give some practical insight into HDFS durability.
> I and others have quoted from this work in the past. I thought it good to 
> make the details conveniently available.

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