Some mails ago someone from valve wrote that they are still working on the balance where to send the player when he is using matchmaking. So my guess is they are still playing around and you get a worse rate than before. Also they wrote that more valve server are up which are most likely are prefered over yours.

This and that many players just tried out tf2 and now turned their back to it can be your reasons.

Am 14.07.2011 11:30, schrieb steve grout:
Our main community server has been almost constantly full since the matchmaking/F2P release so i would like to thank who ever thought up that idea at Valve..

now to the point.. Since registering our main community server our trend has always been 'good' standing Trend: slightly upwards. It's been this way for weeks but today i noticed that our standing is still 'good' but the Trend is 'downwards fast'. We've changed nothing on our server at all over this time and like i have mentioned it's been constantly full.

Anyone got any ideas as to why this might be?

Thanks for your time

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