http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/article2412561.ece


Not ready yet for Nilekani modelUttam Gupta
[image: Farmers will be hard hit if the dealer network were to go haywire.]
Farmers will be hard hit if the dealer network were to go haywire.

The Nilekani panel's proposal on direct cash transfer of subsidy to farmers
in phases involves daunting logistic challenges.

The Task Force (TF) on ‘Direct transfer of subsidies on kerosene, LPG and
fertilisers' headed by Mr Nandan Nilekani, Chairman, Unique Identification
Authority of India (UIDAI) has, in its interim report, recommended a
road-map for direct cash transfer of fertiliser subsidy in three phases:

*Create software *capability and tech support to track movement of
fertilisers from retailer to farmers;

*Set up infrastructure *to facilitate direct cash transfer to bank accounts
of retailers; and

*Enable a system *where farmers buy at market rates from retailers and get
cash transfers to UID-linked accounts. Currently, fertiliser subsidy is
disbursed at the level of manufacturer or importer. The Ministry of
Fertilisers allocates funds to Department of Fertiliser (DOF). DOF in turn,
passes on to the manufacturer who adjusts retail prices according to the
subsidy.

Manufacturers/importers are required to sell urea at controlled price (MRP)
and collect subsidy from the Government equal to excess of cost of
production/import and distribution. Permissible cost to producers is
determined under ‘New Pricing Scheme' (NPS).
NBS policy

Manufacturers of decontrolled phosphorus and potassium (P&K) fertilisers are
given subsidy under the nutrient-based subsidy (NBS) policy. Subsidy rates
under NBS are fixed on per nutrient basis. Unlike urea, these producers have
the freedom to fix MRP.

The thrust of the subsidy policy is to keep fertiliser price to farmers
‘low'. Price connects with their capacity to pay. There are 107.6 million
small and marginal farmers constituting 83.3 per cent of 129.2 million farm
households. Large farmers (holding more than 10 hectares) are only 0.8 per
cent.

While continuing the subsidy, TF proposes to shift the point of disbursal
from manufacturer to retailer/farmer. Under the scheme, DOF will transfer
money to the nodal bank which will credit to account of retailers/farmers in
a network of banks after checking with CSMS (Certified Software Measurement
Specialist).

In the second stage, the retailer will buy fertilisers from manufacturer at
market price and sell it to farmers at a lower price enabled by subsidy. In
the third stage, retailer will sell at market price; however, ‘effective'
price paid by farmer will be lower due to subsidy.
Flawed perception

What has prompted such a drastic shift? This is based on a perception that
extant system is prone to leakages! This is flawed. A fairly rigorous system
of subsidy payments is in place to prevent any misuse. On other hand,
benefits are huge.

The Government has to deal only with a handful of manufacturers (29 urea
units and 19 DAP and NP/NPK complex plants). And, that helps in keeping cost
of administering subsidy low. Fertiliser Industry Coordination Committee
under DOF does this job.

Any apprehension that producers can exploit system is ‘unfounded' as under
NBS for decontrolled fertilisers, they are paid on ‘uniform' per nutrient
basis. For urea too, the Government has promised to shift to NBS. This will
also help correct the imbalance in fertiliser use. Increase in fertiliser
subsidy is often linked withmisuse. This too is a wrong notion. There has
been no increase in MRP (10 per cent hike last year came after eight years)
while there has been a steep increase in prices of feedstock and other
inputs besides an increase in fertiliser use. Hence the rise in subsidy
bill.

In 2008-09 thus, subsidy zoomed close to Rs 100,000 crore. This was
primarily due to skyrocketing international crude price and steep increase
in prices of feedstock and imported fertilisers. In 2009-10, it dropped to
Rs 52,000 crore, as prices cooled that year.
Gyrations in subsidy

We will have to live with gyrations in subsidy irrespective of the chosen
delivery point as subsidy is a function of ‘target' MRP on one hand and cost
of production/import and distribution on the other. It is not a factor of
how it is administered. Clearly, there is no justifiable basis for the
proposed change. Still, if we take a plunge, this could have disastrous
consequences. There are 2,76,313 fertiliser sale points. From a handful of
manufacturers now, the government will have to deal with lakhs of retailers.

Setting up the required infrastructure is a huge challenge by itself. But,
the biggest worry is the States do not have wherewithal and the will to do
the job right. Infotech companies can provide software/tech support, but the
crucial job of tracking and authenticating has to be done by States.

In 1991-92, the government exempted small and marginal farmers from increase
in MRP of all controlled fertilisers by 30 per cent (except ammonium
sulphate, CAN and ammonium chloride which were decontrolled). The money
equivalent of this increase was given to States to be transmitted ‘directly'
to beneficiaries. The result was a fiasco. A meagre 3.5 per cent of farmers
benefited from it. Subsidy amount involved then was around Rs 400 crore.
Now, we are talking of astronomical Rs 50,000 crore to be paid on
certification by States!
Payment hassles

Under the present system, manufacturers get subsidy on ‘dispatch' — 90 per
cent on account payment and the balance on verification. When, it comes to
dealing with lakhs of retailers, it will be dangerous to continue with on
account payments. Will the entire payment be released after sale? Will a
retailer have enough cash to pay full/market price in the very first place?

All the more so, when subsidy component accounts for two thirds (for DAP) of
price paid by him. Under extant system, subsidy payments to manufacturers
often get delayed due to budget constraints and other reasons. The
government has issued ‘fertiliser bonds' to them in lieu of cash. This had
its own problems. One cannot dream of bonds being issued to dealers!!

There is thus a real danger of dealer network collapsing due to liquidity
squeeze in an event of subsidy payments getting delayed. The Government
could be putting the fertiliser supply chain to serious risk. Eventually,
farmers would be hard hit.

In the third stage, problems of reaching subsidy to 129 million farm
households will be of unimaginable proportions. How will they buy at market
price? When will they get paid? Will they be ‘fully' compensated? Will
subsidy go to the ‘right' persons?

(The author is Executive Director, CropLife India, New Delhi.)
 --

-- 
Adv Kamayani Bali Mahabal
+919820749204
skype-lawyercumactivist
*
*
*The UID project i**s going to do almost exactly the same thing which the
predecessors of Hitler did, else how is it that Germany always had the lists

of Jewish names even prior to the arrival of the Nazis? The Nazis got these
lists with the help of IBM which was in the 'census' business that included
racial census that entailed not only count the Jews but also identifying
them. At the United States Holocaust Museum in Washington, DC, there is an
exhibit of an IBM Hollerith D-11 card sorting machine that was responsible
for organising the census of 1933 that first identified the Jews.*
*
*
*http://saynotoaadhaar.blogspot.com/*
*http://aadhararticles.blogspot.com/*
*http://www.facebook.com/home.php?sk=group_162987527061902&ap=1*<
http://www.facebook.com/home.php?sk=group_162987527061902&ap=1>

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