When I get together with other scientists, at some point I ask them how they 
got started. For most, it wasn't because of school, but because of direct 
contact with adults, often a relative who was a scientist, and some of the 
older generation got into it from reading the classic science fiction stories 
of the 40s and 50s. (This is not a scientific survey, heh heh, but it would be 
interesting to see the results of one.)

Seymour Papert liked to say "You can't think about thinking without thinking 
about thinking about something". He meant that most thinking skills, even those 
which are usable from subject area to subject area tend to be best learned via 
learning and doing particular subject areas.

However, there do exist any number of ways to assess how well and what kinds of 
thinking children can do and are learning to do. So please don't worry about 
that.

Your last sentence is somewhat parallel to what many business types like to say 
about how hard it is to measure Return On Investment for research funding. But 
in the business case, this is actually a form of dissembling, since an enormous 
percentage of all the GNP (and in fact GWP) comes directly as return from 
research. 

Most of these types do not really understand that the potential to make 
progress and money is directly related to the abilities of humans to convert 
stored energy of various kinds into constructions and actions. This came not 
from tinkering and old style engineering, but from scientific research done 
using the new ways of thinking we have been discussing.

As an example, the ROI for Xerox PARC has been estimated in excess of $28T 
dollars now, spread around the world as more than $1T per year industry (and 
Xerox made more than a 20,000 % ROI just on the laser printer). This all came 
from special funding of just 25 people for the main inventions.

Another way to look at it is that deep thinking is primarily what has made the 
difference between the Middle Ages and now, and between the average 
productivity per person in the Middle Ages and the enormous average 
productivity per person now.

The people who find this difficult to understand are those who did not learn to 
think well themselves, and they are all too often in places of authority (where 
they should absolutely not be!) in educational and business systems.

Best wishes,

Alan




________________________________
From: K. K. Subramaniam <subb...@gmail.com>
To: Alan Kay <alan.n...@yahoo.com>
Cc: iaep@lists.sugarlabs.org
Sent: Tuesday, June 30, 2009 7:31:07 PM
Subject: Re: [IAEP] Comments on David Kokorowski, David Pritchard and 
"Mastering"  Educational SW

On Tuesday 30 Jun 2009 11:23:24 pm Alan Kay wrote:
> what is more interesting is how well certain ways of thinking work
> in finding strong models of phenomena compared to others.
This is the part that interests me too ...
> So, if we get
> pneumonia, there are lots of paradigms to choose from, but I'm betting that
> most will choose the one that knows how to find out about bacteria and how
> to make antibiotics.
... and this is where I get stuck ;-), particularly in the context of school 
education (first 12 years). Unlike the 3Rs, thinking processes have no external 
manifestation that parents/teachers can monitor, assess or assist. The 
economic value of deep thinking is not realized until many years later. The 
latency between 'input' and 'output' can be as large as 12 years and 
'evaluation' of output may stretch into decades!

Subbu



      
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