The Role of Shale Gas in Deciding the US Presidential Election
By Paul Gilbertson / 26 September 2012 / 0 comments

NEW YORK (GBI Research), 26 September 2012 – President Obama faces a shale
gas dilemma that threatens to damage his bid to secure a second term in the
White House, states the latest report from natural resources experts GBI
Research.

The US is currently endowed with a wealth of natural gas following years of
overproduction, and while allowing exports would win friends within the
industry and potentially boost the economy, it would anger those seeking to
keep domestic prices low, says the new report*.

The past few years have seen natural prices falling to around $3 to $4 per
million British thermal units (MMBtu), and the US Energy Information
Administration EIA expects the annual wellhead natural gas price trend to
remain at around $5 per MMBtu until 2025.

By contrast, liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices in potential trade
countries, particularly those in Asia, are three times higher, suggesting a
highly lucrative export market. However, shipping LNG abroad would alter
the supply/demand balance and naturally result in a higher cost for US
consumers.

The development of shale gas over recent years has significantly altered
the US energy outlook and major industry players have significantly
increased their 2012 capital expenditure (capex) for the development of
shale plays.

ConocoPhillips and Chesapeake Energy announced respective capex of $2.3
billion and $2.4 billion for the development of the Eagle Ford shale play
in 2012, while Bakken shale operators Continental Resources and the Hess
Corporation, outlined respective 2012 capex of $1.1 billion and $1.9
billion in 2012.

GBI Research forecasts the total US shale play capex to reach $52.1 billion
by 2016, climbing at an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of 11.9% from the
expected 2012 figure of $35.3 billion.

** Shale Market in North America to 2016 – Motivated by Surplus Gas
Production, Global Energy Players Eyeing Lucrative Asian Markets for
Export<http://gbiresearch.com/Report.aspx?ID=Shale-Market-in-North-America-to-2016-Motivated-by-Surplus-Gas-Production-Global-Energy-Players-Eyeing-Lucrative-Asian-Markets-for-Export&ReportType=Industry_Report&coreindustry=ALL&Title=Oil_~_Gas>



Do you think it will play a part in deciding the election?

See also

Download KPMG’s Reaction Magazine focused on the impact of shale
gas<http://blogs.terrapinn.com/shale-world/2012/09/19/download-kpmgs-reaction-magazine-focused-impact-shale-gas/>

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