Couldn't happen to a nicer crowd.  (Sarcasm intended!)  :-)

Rick
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Timothy Sipples wrote:

Hewlett-Packard reported its 3Q earnings earlier today:

http://h30261.www3.hp.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=71087&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1322129

A few highlights:

1. "Industry standard server" revenues are down 21% (quarter, year to
year). And it's not a single quarterly fluke: revenues are also down over
24% (nine months, year to year). These are the Intel/AMD X86 servers.
Clearly this means that X86 servers are dead. And because they are
"industry standard," that obviously means the entire standard server
industry is dead.

2. "Non-industry standard server" ... oh, sorry... "Business critical
server" revenues are down over 30% (quarter, year to year). And it's not a
single quarterly fluke: revenues are also down over 25% (nine months, year
to year). These are almost all Intel Itanium-based servers running HP/UX
(UNIX) plus a few NonStop Kernel (NSK) servers. Clearly this means that
distributed UNIX and NSK servers are even more dead.

3. HP doesn't break out profit ("earnings from operations") separately for
these two units, but for the overall "Enterprise Storage and Servers"
division, profits were down 34.5% (quarter, year to year) and a whopping
46% (nine months, year to year). Clearly since the profit is declining even
faster than sales, HP server R&D investment is really, really dead. Which
fits, actually: there hasn't been a new Itanium CPU since....when was that
again? (Anybody remember?)

4. Perhaps services and software will help fill the gap? HP doesn't
actually produce too much software, and anyway that business was down too
(22% for the quarter, year to year; 15% for the nine months, year to year).
So obviously software is dead. The EDS acquisition makes services
comparisons hard for now, so more time is needed before deciding that's
dead.

Yes, servers, software, and perhaps even services are dead. Everything is
dead. Thus I suggest unplugging every HP X86, distributed HP/UX, and
NonStop Kernel server you own, now, before it's too late.

I'm also looking forward to reading Computerworld's article tomorrow about
the death of HP servers, and the grave and ever-deepening threat to HP
server R&D. A story which of course they have been printing for several
quarters given the *actual* continuing death of HP servers (that mostly run
non-HP software, as it happens). Right?

Speaking only for myself. And Computerworld.

- - - - -
Timothy Sipples
IBM Consulting Enterprise Software Architect
Based in Tokyo, Serving IBM Japan / Asia-Pacific
E-Mail: timothy.sipp...@us.ibm.com
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