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In the late 1980's, Gartner predicted that any company that didn't move from the mainframe to client/server would not be in business for very long.

In the mid-to-late 1990's, the same analyst said that companies were having problems migrating to c/s, and they had probably jumped on the bandwagon too soon.

And in the mid-to-late 2000's, management still blindly believes in the predictions of said company...
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I respectfully submit that Gartner Group is NOT the only "pundit" that is quoted to the exclusion of all else. Far too many management people are more willing to believe the press, as opposed to listening to their own staff. Somehow (I don't have a "silver bullet" answer), we need to educate IT management to the fact that very few shops are the ideal shop that Gartner seems to assume. Every company has its own needs and the over IT environment needs to be tailored to those needs, regardless of the acual platform chosen. All too often, a senior manager will get a "fixation" on a particular platform, ignoring all others, to the ultimate detriment of his company.

Be afraid. Be very afraid. But also be VOCAL and HONEST.


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