Tim,

After working for a MAJOR big 5 company in Europe for three years I
understand what you are saying. I was able to work in Europe after my job
was 'phased out', I always thought this was a strange phrase, anyway, the
Swiss had to justify why they needed me to come to work there, their rules
in particular were very strict. But it did provide me the opportunity to
work in Europe and have that experience.

Scott Ford
Senior Systems Engineer

 
[p] 678.266.3399 x304    [m] 609-346-0399  identityforge.com



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-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf
Of Timothy Sipples
Sent: Thursday, November 13, 2008 3:10 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Mainframe Jobs Considered Recession Proof

I put that video up on the Mainframe Blog a couple days ago.

Note that "recession proof" doesn't mean immune to venue changes. That is,
there will be ongoing turmoil in corporate identities and locations. So the
mainframe jobs won't necessarily be in the same cities for the same
companies. But the expert predictions are there will be lots of jobs. Some
of them can be done from home.

IBM and other companies will temper that demand somewhat by continuing to
boost mainframe worker productivity -- mainframers are and will continue to
be the most productive workers in IT, probably even widening the gap. But
"temper" is the right word, certainly not "eliminate."

I don't think this jobs analysis is particularly sophisticated, and it
doesn't have to be. If you consider the list of "recession proof" jobs,
most of them just follow from demographic trends in the United States. If
there are more elderly people -- a well-established demographic trend in
the U.S. -- there will be more demand for healthcare, ergo more healthcare
workers. You can make some accurate job category predictions for Japan
also: here the birthrate is extremely low, there's basically zero
immigration, and you can guess what the demographic trends are. Automakers
are not going to be happy with the Japanese domestic market, to pick one
example.

- - - - -
Timothy Sipples
IBM Consulting Enterprise Software Architect
Based in Tokyo, Serving IBM Japan / Asia-Pacific
E-Mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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