No thanks, I'll leave that sort of thing to you; you're much better at it than 
I am.


--
Shmuel (Seymour J.) Metz
http://mason.gmu.edu/~smetz3

________________________________________
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] on behalf of 
R.S. [r.skoru...@bremultibank.com.pl]
Sent: Wednesday, July 8, 2020 7:58 AM
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Subject: Re: Storage & tape question

Feel free to answer off-topic, criticize unsaid sentences and be
self-concvinced you are right while rest of the world is wrong. Have a fun.

--
Radoslaw Skorupka
Lodz, Poland






W dniu 08.07.2020 o 13:53, Seymour J Metz pisze:
> Whoosh! You're completely missing the point. It's a matter of basic 
> probability theory. Given N independent adverse scenarios with probabilities 
> Pn, the probability that none of them will happen is (1-P1)(1-P2)...(1-PN).
>
> But it's not my dog. Feel free to run without backups, as long as you don't 
> ask for sympathy when the balloon goes up.
>
>
> --
> Shmuel (Seymour J.) Metz
> http://mason.gmu.edu/~smetz3
>
> ________________________________________
> From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] on behalf of 
> R.S. [r.skoru...@bremultibank.com.pl]
> Sent: Wednesday, July 8, 2020 5:32 AM
> To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
> Subject: Re: Storage & tape question
>
> It has no value.
> Terrorist attack is unlikely, but two terrorist attacks at the time are
> more unlikely. Thousand terrorist attacks at the tima are even more
> unlikely.
> A bomb attack is unlikely. Large (atomic?) bomb attack is more unlikely.
> When you have two datacenters and tapes in shelter off-site ...it is
> still just unlikely to have coordinated attack on all the locations at
> the time, and it is just unlikely to have shelters strong enough.
> More data locations? Fine, more bombs.
> And it is quite likely some malevolent people would know the adresses of
> the locations.
>
> If you think you can protect your data against unlikely events
> (disaster, etc.)...
> Or rather: if you think you know how to do it, despite of the costs -
> you're simply WRONG.
> There is always some level of protection. The level is not infinite and
> *cannot* be inifite. It can be high. Maybe "high enough" or "reasonably
> high".
>
>
> Side note: there are scenarios when achieving higher level of protection
> is pointless. Let's assume ticket system for metro transportation
> (buses) and ...war. Or ticket system for buses in Biloxi.
>
> --
> Radoslaw Skorupka
> Lodz, Poland
>
>
>
>
>
>
> W dniu 07.07.2020 o 17:27, Seymour J Metz pisze:
>> A terrorist attack is unlikely.
>>
>> An earthquake is unlikely.
>>
>> A tornado is unlikely.
>>
>> A flood is unlikely.
>>
>> ...
>>
>> The more unlikely risks there are, the greater the odds that one of them 
>> will happen. If you don't have off site backups then your data are at risk, 
>> and when the balloon goes up it won't matter how unlikely the particular 
>> failure mode was.
>>
>>
>> --
>> Shmuel (Seymour J.) Metz
>> http://mason.gmu.edu/~smetz3
>>
>> ________________________________________
>> From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU] on behalf of 
>> R.S. [r.skoru...@bremultibank.com.pl]
>> Sent: Tuesday, July 7, 2020 10:59 AM
>> To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
>> Subject: Re: Storage & tape question
>>
>> W dniu 07.07.2020 o 16:52, Edward Finnell pisze:
>>> 1200lbs Semtex make you realize what backups are for and where is your cold 
>>> site?
>>>
>>> In a message dated 7/7/2020 9:37:20 AM Central Standard Time, 
>>> rwjack...@firsthorizon.com writes:
>>> R.S. is spot on:  make backups.  Because of the trauma from this one event, 
>>> we now have a three-way VTS grid, synchronous-mirrored SANs, and two 
>>> mainframes on the floor.
>> I had serious discussion with some VIPs about it, approx 20 years ago
>> (WTC attack).
>> I had to explain we are starting DR centre with remote copy to protect
>> against many disasters, BUT...
>> Dedicated terrorist attack is unlikely, but when considered you cannot
>> exclude coordinated attack on two (three) datacenters at the time.
>> If you want to be safe you have to protect your datacenter well enough.
>> And of course there is bigger bomb for bigger shelter.
>>
>> --
>> Radoslaw Skorupka
>> Lodz, Poland
>>
>


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