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Secret WB Document on Corruption in Indonesia - Pt I -

Dear Readers,

Several persons familiar with the World Bank claim that the document below
is authentic. But inasmuch as Joyo has no way of verifying such claims, this
document is being sent to list members for informational purposes only. The
copy received did not include the name(s) of the author(s) of the Memorandum
nor of the introductory paragraph describing the Memorandum.

          -- Joyo

#############################################################

Secret WB Document on  "Why Corruption Levels are Unlikely to Change under
the Proposed Arrangements" -- Part II

Excerpt:

" There is evidence, as the report of the recent World Bank mission on
corruption suggests, that the pattern of coordination that kept this system
[of corruption]running smoothly has broken down. The authoritarian
arrangement which imposed informal discipline in order to keep the system's
level total extraction at a sustainable level gave way to one in which new
opportunities arose during the pre-crisis growth period. These opportunities
were seized upon by officials acting as individual rent-maximizers
regardless of overall cost. By the time the crisis hit, Suharto's ability to
act as a "stationary bandit" had long since been overcome by events. "

************************

FULL TEXT OF THE MEMO (PART II)

Dealing with Incentives toward Corruption

Corruption in padat karya programs appears to include the following forms:

1 .     skimming off portions of the budget in the expenditure circuit from
central department account to the work site;

2.      collusion in public works design and implementation so that work
requirements are overestimated, contractor competition is managed, bids are
inflated, and kickbacks paid to officials;

3.      extortion by officials manning control points between center and work
site, e.g. requiring payment for local budge approval or avoidance of a
negative audit report;

4.      arbitrage by the project officers, field supervisors, and foremen,
in which either ghost workers are recorded as present, or standard wage-rate
payments are recorded but substandard wages are paid and the difference
pocketed;

5.      nepotism and favoritism in the selection of projects and of eligible
workers, possibly in return for kickbacks or favors.

The modalities of corruption are no doubt more varied than this, nor are the
above forms universally in evidence - it is too soon to say either way based
on findings to date. Nevertheless, it does appear that the above practices
are common in works programs, and that they would be present in the
labor-intensive works programs implemented in 1999 unless special action is
taken.

These forms of corruption have varied sources. The colonial tradition of
"wet" departments appears to have been carried over into the New Order, with
civil service salaries set very low, often ten percent or less of the cost of
a
lifestyle considered commensurate with the official's position. Social
pressure to
keep up with one's peers in the civil service - to say nothing of one's
neighbors and friends in the private sector - requires improvisation that
takes well-known forms: creating projects that pay salary supplements and
allowances out of government development budgets, land and investments,
moonlighting, and graft.

This system, then, works on the assumption that officials will supplement
their salaries through a variety of manipulations, and it requires
cooperation among various levels of officialdom to pass the expected shares
of graft earnings up and down the line. The basis for such this system is a
unitary government, a dominant ruling party, the presence of the military at
all levels and in all departments, Javanese cultural influence stemming from
precolonial history and the nationalist movement, an authoritarian and
technocratic approach to administration and development, weak civil society
with little capacity or opportunity to exercise scrutiny, and a shared fear
of separatism and fragmentation.

In other words, corruption has helped (I) hold a potentially fractious
society together, (ii) direct opportunities and benefits to key supporters,
and (iii) provide some uplift to the pribumi population, through the
distribution of patronage in the form of government positions, projects, and
other benefits. Such a system may be able to sustain an equilibrium at a
medium to high level of corruption, provided it can keep at bay such
destabilizing influences as alternative power centers, campaigns for reform
and democracy, large new sources of rents, economic crises, and forms o f
indiscipline such as inordinate greed.

There is evidence, as the report of the recent World Bank mission on
corruption suggests, that the pattern of coordination that kept this system
running smoothly has broken down. The authoritarian arrangement which
imposed informal discipline in order to keep the system's level total
extraction at a sustainable level gave way to one in which new opportunities
arose during the pre-crisis growth period. These opportunities were seized
upon by officials acting as individual rent-maximizers regardless of overall
cost. By the time the crisis hit, Suharto's ability to act as a "stationary
bandit" had long since been overcome by events.

    The situation has changed. The ending of the Cold War has reduced
pressure
for a united front. Foreign donors are becoming more demanding.
International financial markets play a much greater disciplining role in
Indonesia than in the past. The pre-existing system of graft has lost some
of its rationale. There is still a concern about the unity of the country,
and about distributing benefits to pribumi constituencies. There may be yet
other agendas at play that help keep corruption networks active, but these
may be less strong than before. In this situation, a new direction charted
by the chief of state, commitments to reform the civil service, the
judiciary, the audit systems, and the instruments that encourage the flow of
information (FOIA, whistleblowers, etc.) could have more of an impact than
they might have in the past.

    What does this mean here and now, for the short-term works programs
that we hope to protect under the new loan? An ambitious reform agenda is a
long-term matter. In the short term, it makes sense to (I) pursue the closest
approximations possible to the changes suggested above, (ii) within a special
zone or ring-fence, (iii) using special provisions of limited application in
terms of time or breadth, (iv) while allowing state mechanisms to provide
proxies of the most important benefits normally supplied through graft. This
implies changes on several fronts, and setting up civic monitoring mechanisms
alone will not produce substantial reductions in corruption. It also means
that
any such changes that cut strongly against  the social gradient that sustains
corruption networks will likely be resisted, manipulated, and perhaps
undermined. Can the loan package be designed to address these points?

Suggestions

Following are some thoughts that might be pursued as design elements of the
loan package, in addition to what the Bank is already contemplating:

1.          Bring all individual projects under a strict budgetary ceiling -
say 50 or 100 million rupiah. Larger projects could either be prohibited or
made subject to special and more stringent reporting and monitoring
procedures. In theory, it is harder to skim substantial amounts from many
small projects than a few large ones. Assuming certain other conditions (see
below), smaller pots tend to encourage clearer "ownership" rights, less
free-riding, and less illicit  redistribution. As with the current Cipta
Karya
program, small projects can use simplified rules and procedures for design,
planning, bidding, contracting, etc.

2.          Direct all project funds through bank accounts at or near the
level at which the project is being implemented. Removing fund flows from
the usual circuit running from the center to the local
level, through sub-national treasuries, removes substantial opportunities
for diversion. It does not cure such problems as kickbacks, bribery,
favoritism, etc. Still, the impression I've gotten that
officials are resisting this move means that it probably would have an
impact. One might couple this with some kind of documentary system of
tranche releases, analogous to the process of fund
release under a documentary letter of credit, in this case using perhaps
certified invoices, receipts, worker attendance lists, audit reports, etc.

3.          Use independent private sector auditors to supplement and
re-check
what is to be done by the departmental Inspectors General and BPKP. At the
risk of piling up costs, one might consider using an international
accounting firm to do central audits and a few spot-checks.

4.          Provide civil service pay top-ups or equivalent benefits. This is
a contentious issue, since Indonesian officials already use their
development budgets to pay themselves top-ups. One might, first, rationalize
that system by making those top-ups a transparent part of official
pay-scales, and
second, use a portion of the expected gain due to reduced corruption to pay
an extra top-up.

On the latter point, one might take a "not here, not now" or "zero tolerance"
stance, while providingin exchange an additional top-up calculated as
follows: if one removes the entire 20-30% leakage (choose a mid-point
estimate, e.g.
25%, hence $150 million, if the  total program were $600 million), then one
pays back to the civil servants one-half of this in formal top-ups, and lets
the
other half flow down to the target population. Of course, it is unreasonable
to expect zero leakage, but this must be the formal target, lest one condone
leakages of any given amount. Such a system would apply only within the
ring-fence. Assuming the Forestry and Manpower programs can be excluded, this
leaves BAPPENAS, Public Works, and Home Affairs as the main central
departments operating within the ring-fence. This would have to include both
centrally- and locally-implemented works.

It may be a bit of a stretch, but the analogy here would be the hiving off of
tax departments in some countries, applying special procedures and salary
scales
or converting them into revenue boards. This approach would likely require a
Presidential decree setting the terms for the program, such as official
salaries, summary dismissal upon receipt of certain specified evidence of
wrong-doing, performance criteria, transparency rules, project planning and
implementation procedures, etc.

5.          Require signals to be sent by the President and relevant
ministers
of seriousness of purpose. Habibie has already acknowledged problems of KKN.
One might condition the loan package on a major speech announcing the new
approach to labor-intensive works, in which KKN is not tolerated within the
ring-fence, and all relevant officials make strong rhetorical commitments to
integrity. This could easily become a charade, but apparently this kind of
zero-tolerance rhetoric was used with some success by the Director General of
Public Works
in the context of one of the Bank- funded programs (Kecamatan Development?).

6.          Institute special budgetary and policy authority at local levels
without central approval - again, by special decree applicable only to the
programs concerned. Here, the idea is to move some programs quickly down
to lower levels - kabupatens might be a good place to focus - and to remove
the checkpoints above this level that attract corruption via bribes and
kickbacks for project and budget approvals, skimming off part of the funding
flows, etc. This would be a kind of pilot decentralization experiment, again
within the ring-fence.

7.          Require selection of works and laborers by public hearings,
public
processes, and public verification. This is a kind of direct democracy
approach where everyone in the affected area is invited (required?) to turn
out in order to witness and approve these steps. Obviously, this could only
work as such at the very lowest levels.

8.          Use international monitors of engineering standards of output
quality, etc. Much of the slack taken up by means of corruption is
apparently created by loose estimations of manpower and materials
requirements by project engineers. The margin is then distributed in the
form of overinvoicing, kickbacks, and other means. One approach here might
be to have organizations from the region with experience and good
credentials in this area participate in the re-definition of standards, and
perhaps in audits and spot-checks.

9.          Check gross disparities in work-days per capita in different
jurisdictions - there appear to be very wide divergences that would be
difficult to justify in terms of need here. These seem to point to patronage
processes that grossly distort program outcomes.

10.         What is needed for the just-mentioned checks and other
anti-corruption activities is the capacity to investigate and pursue
problems of corruption. This is not dealt with in the proposals about
independent civic monitoring. The idea of a special prosecutor was
apparently mooted but strongly opposed by Indonesian officials. An
alternative approach might be to use the existing systems -  Inspectorate
General, BPK, BPKP, procuracy - but to require special transparency
provisions to apply to all matters concerning the ring-fenced programs. In
other words, one might require all monitoring, investigation, and prosecution
by these agencies to be conducted
to a much greater extent in public, as concerns the programs in question.
Again, this would require a decree or other special dispensation.

11.         Create islands of integrity. This is the overall logic of the
ring-fence, but one might develop this further in the form of special
whistleblower incentives and protections, freedom of information provisions,
complaint mechanisms, bid protests, etc. One might also suggest some form of
"integrity pacts" to be entered into by the relevant officials, contractors,
NGOs, traditional authorities, donor agencies, etc. This could involve an
entity such as transparency international.

12.         Determine more precisely what the most damaging forms of
corruption are within the programs  concerned, and focus mainly, or even
exclusively, on them. For example, patronage and nepotism   might be judged
to be relatively benign, while certain distortions, rakeoffs, and kickbacks
might be    viewed as more damaging. The integrity provisions of the loan
package should perhaps focus on the     latter.

13.          Avoid the perception that the Bank is setting up alternative
power
centers. This is not an easy task if one is to pursue the above-stated
goals seriously. Nevertheless, one needs to leave room for more     benign
functional equivalents of the corruption networks to operate in order to
achieve the goals of: unity, continued (relatively) strong policy direction
from the center, uplift of pribumi populations and other key constituencies.
How one does this without outright condoning of corruption is difficult to
say ex ante, but in principle this should enter into discussions of the ways
in which the ring-fence is set up. Otherwise, the Bank will run a serious
risk of failure.

What this Might Mean for the Appraisal Mission and the Loan

Drawing out the implications of the above for the loan package, if any, is
obviously the Bank's task. I would very much like to be as specific on this
point as possible, but have not yet had the leisure to think this through.

With the appraisal of the SSNAL moving forward, you confront three basic
options: (I) do not make the loan because there are insufficient assurances
of integrity in SSN expenditures, (ii) make the loan on the basis of some
version of the integrity conditions now being contemplated, or (iii) make
the loan without any reference to or representations about corruption -
acknowledging that the need for balance of payments support is overriding. I
am not sure to what extent option (iii) has been aired. Of  course, it would
be perfectly consistent with past lending programs, in which the Bank
stipulated that it had confidence that audit mechanisms and investment
targets were such as to minimize the risk of default.

The new variables at play now are Indonesian and international concerns
about corruption in development - including multilateral lending - programs,
and direct criticism of the Bank concerning the governance of its programs
in Indonesia. Obviously, our target is option (ii). The question is whether
the insufficiency of definable conditions or of Indonesian fulfillment of
those conditions triggers (I) or (iii). To my untutored sensibility, it
seems that (I) is not seriously being contemplated. To adopt option (iii)
would mean climbing down off the soapbox and reversing course.

The one big advantage this would have is in avoiding any Bank certification
that Indonesia has actually met a series of anti-corruption conditions. It
seems to be broadly assumed that the conditions under option (ii) are
unlikely actually to bite, given the pressures to disburse and the
difficulties of suspending tranches. I may be underestimating the Bank's
commitment in this regards, and if so, my apologies. I just think it's worth
considering whether releasing the initial tranche upon certification that
the integrity conditions have been met (option ii) doesn't then provide a
cover for all sorts of manipulations - creating, to use a now tired concept,
a problem of moral hazard.

-end-

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Didistribusikan tgl. 23 Jul 1999 jam 09:52:43 GMT+1
oleh: Indonesia Daily News Online <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
http://www.Indo-News.com/
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