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Business Times [Singapore]
24 Jul 1999

JAKARTA

Analysts call for caution on Indon stocks

Interest rate jitters, domestic political uncertainty cited

By Shoeb Kagda

INVESTORS looking to buy Indonesian stocks should hold back as the stock
market is headed south from here on, analysts told BT yesterday.

Interest rate jitters in the United States and political uncertainty at home
drove the Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI) down sharply yesterday
to close at 625.8 points, a drop of 16.8 points or 2.6 per cent over
Thursday's close. The rupiah also weakened yesterday, touching a low of 7,000
to the US dollar before recovering slightly to the 6,870 level.

Ray Anthony, deputy head of research at GK Goh Ometraco, noted that the
market has been trending down for the past week and is expected to fall
further.

"I don't think now is an ideal time to buy Indonesian stocks as there is
considerable downside," he said. "If the political situation unravels further
and the economic recovery stalls, the market could go the other way."

Market sentiment had also turned negative following the euphoric rise in the
JCI after the successful staging of the June 7 general elections. "People are
now looking for reasons to sell as the reality of the political uncertainty
ahead of the presidential elections is starting to sink in."

Mr Anthony noted that investors would be better off trading the market rather
than picking up any particular counter as both blue-chip stocks as well as
second-liners have been hammered.

Kelvin Long of BNP Prime Peregrine said that while the general tone of the
market was negative, he believed it was temporary and that the index would
find support at the 570 to 600 level.

"The poor market sentiment is in line with the rest of the region," he noted.
"It's a healthy consolidation before the next push, which will come once the
political uncertainty is out of the way."

David Chang, director of research at Trimegah Securities, predicted that the
market will recover at the end of next month as the reporting season gets
underway. Many companies will report better-than-expected results due to the
strong rupiah in the second quarter and this will be reflected in their
bottom lines.

"This consolidation was needed but investors have to be cautious going
forward as there is still a great deal of uncertainty," he said.

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Didistribusikan tgl. 24 Jul 1999 jam 07:52:57 GMT+1
oleh: Indonesia Daily News Online <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
http://www.Indo-News.com/
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