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ANTARA, AUG 6 1999

Politics: No Matter Who Becomes President, RI To Remain In Free Of
Violence, Says Ausssie Observer

Surabaya, E Java, Aug 5 (ANTARA)-No matter who is elected
president, there will be no violence in Indonesia as the
Indonesian Defence Forces (TNI) is not likely to resort to a coup
d'etat to maintain security, an Australian political observer said.

"Whether Habibie or Megawati is the president, I believe there
will be no violence. As for the TNI, I think, it would be
impossible for it to stage a coup d'etat," Indonesianist Lance
Castle told newsmen after a seminar themed "The Strength of the
Opposition in Indonesia," here Thursday.

Castle, who is a guest lecturer at Yogyakarta-based Gadjah Mada
University, expressed the believe that neither Habibie nor
Megawati would employ violent methods to grab the presidential
seat in November.

"Indonesia will become a democratic country. Coup de'etats and
violence are no longer a popular method to gain power. The
international community including the United States wants
Indonesia to implement a democratic system," he said.

The professor from Melbourne-based Monash University said it
seemed that Washington would be able to accept a combination
government because both Habibie and Megawati only won a "thin
majority" of votes.

Meanwhile, the TNI was likelyto give its support to those forces
promoting democracy in Indonesia, he said.

"So, the TNI too is inclined to want the establishment of a
democratic system in Indonesia and to reject the past system in
which the military merely served as bodyguards of those in power.
I attach great hope to a union between the TNI and the Ciganjur
group," Castle said. Ciganjur was the place in Jakarta where
Megawati Soekarnoputri, Abdurrahman Wahid, Amien Rais and
Yogyakarta's Sultan Hamengkubuwono X met late last year to issue a
joint statement on the political situation.

Asked about the likely political constellation after the general
session of the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR), Castle said
this was hard to predict but he felt certain that Indonesia would
become a democratic country.

If the various political forces in the country letely appeared to
be jockeying for power, this was only normal. This also happened
in established democracies such as the United States, Britain and
India. "But eventually things are resolved in a democratic way,"
Castle said.

(T/SBY-08/NN-06/16:29/INT-AJM-20:15/NN01/21:07/TB02)

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Didistribusikan tgl. 10 Aug 1999 jam 10:54:55 GMT+1
oleh: Indonesia Daily News Online <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
http://www.Indo-News.com/
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