The trending Global Ap is somewhat out of synch with the trending Sunspot numbers and also the 10.7 mHz Solar Flux trends.
That said, most indications are that we're roughly 2 years in advance of Minimum -- presuming the remainder of the cycle behaves more or less normally.. Russ Edmunds WB2BJH Blue Bell, PA Grid FN20id ________________________________ From: IRCA <irca-boun...@hard-core-dx.com> on behalf of Nicholas Hall-Patch <n...@ieee.org> Sent: Friday, December 22, 2017 3:05:01 PM To: Mailing list for the International Radio Club of America Subject: Re: [IRCA] DX Fishbarrel Aren't we still quite a way from minimum Walt? I think 2008 and 2009 were our minimum years last time, and even if the cycle is a normal one , that's still a couple of years to go to the minimum of this one. Because it's been such an unusual cycle anyway (low maximum, which can mean a longer period to the minimum), it's hard to say. We're being foozled too by the second maximum of the cycle it seems, which shows the highest Ap conditions of the entire cycle right now ( http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weather-enthusiasts) despite sunspot numbers declining , so conditions have actually deteriorated from that wonderful early fall of 2014 when we heard TA's in late August, followed by poorer conditions in early October and beyond. And this year does also seem poorer for high latitude paths than even last year's. A roundabout way of saying all bets are off with this anomalously low level solar cycle; maybe 2014 was our best time for high latitude this cycle judging by the lowest Ap conditions best wishes, Nick On Fri, Dec 22, 2017 at 6:36 PM, Volodya S <can...@gmail.com> wrote: > Colin, as we get to the bottom of the sunset cycle, one would expect better > MW reception. At a similar point in the last cycle, I remember having > close to 24/7 MW reception in Masset which was exciting, especially since > it was all into Iran and Africa in my local noon and early afternoon time > (January). Have not seen that again since. Yesterday's conditions were > REALLY good. Up there with great days during the equinox. Have a great > time in Hawaii, and best DX! Walt > > On Fri, Dec 22, 2017 at 9:45 AM, R. Colin Newell <coffeecan...@gmail.com> > wrote: > > > Yup - that one tool that makes our lives that much easier - the > FishBarrel > > - was kind of slumped over > > last night around 0400 UTC - did not last very long - I think that Nick > can > > reset it remotely. > > > > Yea - there were spots this morning that were on fire - but they were > fewer > > than yesterday. > > > > Yesterday was a top to bottom kind of event - today more spotty. Oddly > > better DU and Oceanic signals > > with 1098 open carrier hitting a high water mark. > > > > Hawaii is going to be interesting this year I think (and hope) > > > > On Fri, Dec 22, 2017 at 9:37 AM, Volodya S <can...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > > > At the dials this morning, and didn't think things were as hot as they > > were > > > yesterday. Continued all Asian. Checked for the new Aussie low power > > SW > > > outlets on 5045 and 5055 and nothing heard, whereas they were coming in > > > nicely into Don Moman's remote Perseus receivers at the same time. I > > also > > > noted that Nick's DX Fishbarrel was off-line, or at least giving an > error > > > message. Nick's in Khartoum right now, so I don't know whether he can > > > reset things or not! 73,...Walt > > > _______________________________________________ > > > > > > > > > -- > > Colin Newell - Editor and creator *of *Coffeecrew.com > > <http://www.Coffeecrew.com> and DXer.ca <http://www.DXer.ca> - > > VA7WWV | Twitter @CoffeeCrew | Victoria - Canada > > _______________________________________________ > > IRCA mailing list > > IRCA@hard-core-dx.com > > http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca > > > > Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the > > original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the > > IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers > > > > For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org > > > > To Post a message: irca@hard-core-dx.com > > > > > _______________________________________________ > IRCA mailing list > IRCA@hard-core-dx.com > http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca > > Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the > original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the > IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers > > For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org > > To Post a message: irca@hard-core-dx.com > > _______________________________________________ IRCA mailing list IRCA@hard-core-dx.com http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org To Post a message: irca@hard-core-dx.com _______________________________________________ IRCA mailing list IRCA@hard-core-dx.com http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org To Post a message: irca@hard-core-dx.com
