Iran: Pieces in Place for Escalation
  "The fuel for a fire is in place".

  by Colonel Sam Gardiner 

      Global Research, January 16, 2007
      The Left Coaster - 2007-01-14
    
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  Editorial Note

The following text by Colonel Sam Gardiner (USAF, Retired) confirms our worst 
fears. The US is in an advanced state of readiness to wage war on Iran.

To reverse the tide requires a massive campaign of networking and outreach to 
inform people across the land, nationally and internationally, in 
neighborhoods, workplaces, parishes, schools, universities, municipalities, on 
the dangers of a US sponsored war, which contemplates the use of nuclear 
weapons. The message should be loud and clear:  It is not Iran which is a 
threat to global security but the United States of America and Israel.  Even 
without the use of nukes, the proposed aerial bombardments could result in 
escalation, ultimately leading us into a broader war in the Middle East.     
Debate and discussion must also take place within the Military and Intelligence 
community, particularly with regard to the use of tactical nuclear weapons, 
within the corridors of the US Congress, in municipalities and at all levels of 
government. Ultimately, the legitimacy of the political and military actors in 
high office must be challenged. 
  The corporate media also bears a heavy responsibility for the cover-up of US 
sponsored war crimes. It must also be forcefully challenged for its biased 
coverage of the Middle East war.  
  What is needed is to break the conspiracy of silence, expose the media lies 
and distortions, confront the criminal nature of the US Administration and of 
those governments which support it, its war agenda as well as its so-called 
"Homeland Security agenda" which has already defined the contours of a police 
State. 
  The World is at the crossroads of the most serious crisis in modern history. 
The US  has embarked on a military adventure, "a long war", which threatens the 
future of humanity.  It is essential to bring the US war project to the 
forefront of political debate, particularly in North America and Western 
Europe. Political and military leaders who are opposed to the war must take a 
firm stance, from within their respective institutions. Citizens must take a 
stance individually and collectively against war.


Michel Chossudovsky, Global Research, 16 January 2007   
---------------------------------
  
I do not accept the notion that the first casualty of war is truth. (Col. Sam 
Gardiner) 


The pieces are moving.  They’ll be in place by the end of February.  The United 
States will be able to escalate military operations against Iran.

     The second carrier strike group leaves the U.S. west coast on Tuesday.  It 
will be joined by naval mine clearing assets from both the United States and 
the UK.  Patriot missile defense systems have also been ordered to deploy to 
the Gulf.

     Maybe as a guard against North Korea seeing operations focused on Iran as 
a chance to be aggressive, a squadron of F-117 stealth fighters has just been 
deployed to Korea.

     This has to be called escalation.  We have to remind ourselves, just as 
Iran is supporting groups inside Iraq, the United States is supporting groups 
inside Iran.  Just as Iran has special operations troops operating inside Iraq, 
we’ve read the United States has special operations troops operating inside 
Iran.

     Just as Iran is supporting Hamas, two weeks ago we found out the United 
States is supporting arms for Abbas.  Just as Iran and Syria are supporting 
Hezbollah in Lebanon we’re now learning the White House has approved a finding 
to allow the CIA to support opposition groups inside Lebanon.  Just as Iran is 
supporting Syria, we’ve learned recently that the United States is going to 
fund Syrian opposition groups.

     We learned this week the President authorized an attack on the Iranian 
liaison office in Irbil. 

     The White House keeps saying there are no plans to attack Iran.  
Obviously, the facts suggest otherwise.  Equally as clear, the Iranians will 
read what the Administrations is doing not what it is saying.

     It is possible the White House strategy is just implementing a strategy to 
put pressure on Iran on a number of fronts, and this will never amount to 
anything.  On the other hand, if the White House is on a path to strike Iran, 
we’ll see a few more steps unfold.

     First, we know there is a National Security Council staff-led group whose 
mission is to create outrage in the world against Iran.  Just like before Gulf 
II, this media group will begin to release stories to sell a strike against 
Iran.  Watch for the outrage stuff.

     The Patriot missiles going to the GCC states are only part of the missile 
defense assets.  I would expect to see the deployment of some of the 
European-based missile defense assets to Israel, just as they were before Gulf 
II.

     I would expect deployment of additional USAF fighters into the bases in 
Iraq, maybe some into Afghanistan.

     I think we will read about the deployment of some of the newly arriving 
Army brigades going into Iraq being deployed to the border with Iran.  Their 
mission will be to guard against any Iranian movements into Iraq.

     As one of the last steps before a strike, we’ll see USAF tankers moved to 
unusual places, like Bulgaria.  These will be used to refuel the US-based B-2 
bombers on their strike missions into Iran.  When that happens, we’ll only be 
days away from a strike.

     The White House could be telling the truth.  Maybe there are no plans to 
take Iran to the next level. The fuel for a fire is in place, however.  All we 
need is a spark.  The danger is that we have created conditions that could lead 
to a Greater Middle East War.   

[emphasis added by Global Research]

  
  
  Sam Gardiner is a Retired Air Force Colonel. He is an expert in military 
strategy. He has taught at the National War College. He has also taught at the 
Air War College, the Naval War College and as  visiting scholar at the Swedish 
Defense College. His  Truth In These Podia (pdf) explains the propaganda 
methods used by the Pentagon to "sell the war". 

See also the following 2005 Global Research review article on Sam Gardiner's 
analysis of the Pentagon's Office of Strategic Influence:  America's Ministry 
of Propaganda Exposed, Downing Street Memo is but the Tip of the Iceberg, by 
Gar Smith


    
 Global Research Articles by Sam Gardiner       

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