*The gift of hindsight*
Peter Bergen on getting inside the mind of Bin Laden
(Paperback writer)
*Saturday September 7, 2002
*
I quit my job at CNN in the autumn of 1999, to start working full time on a
book about Osama bin Laden. I had become interested in the mysterious
multimillionaire Saudi after I met him in eastern Afghanistan in 1997, and
spent most of the next four years trying to understand the man. Finally, at
the end of August last year, I gave my manuscript to my publisher. Having
worked for more than a decade in the news business there were many things I
did not understand about publishing, not least the seemingly geological time
scale on which publishers work. When I handed in the manuscript, my editor
told me that they would be publishing the book in 10 months. I found this
somewhat surprising. As I told my agent, "A lot of things can change in 10
months."

I had a strong hunch that Bin Laden was planning another attack against an
American target and that it would happen long before the slated publication
date of my book. The clearest signal was a two-hour al-Qaida propaganda
videotape then circulating around the Middle East. I had acquired a copy of
the tape three weeks before the Trade Centre attacks and had it translated.
It was an eye-opener. It was the most wide-ranging distillation of Bin
Laden's views, and predicted additional anti-American actions. One of my
sources told me: "These threats on the videotape are genuine. Bin Laden's
followers are making preparations against more than one American target."

I was so sure that an al-Qaida attack was in the offing that I wrote a
letter on August 17 to a reporter at the New York Times. I began it: "I
think there is a major story to be told wrapping around the new Bin Laden
videotape and the various threats against US facilities... and [which]
responsibly suggest that an al-Qaida attack is in the works." On the morning
of September 11 2001, I watched in horror as the planes struck the World
Trade Centre.

A day or so later my editor called to talk about the book. We both agreed
that the old publication date made no sense. We needed to get it out as soon
as possible. And there was also the small matter of recalibrating the tone
and content. In the interests of attracting readers to a tome about the
hitherto largely obscure phe nomenon of al-Qaida I had included a good
number of travelogue scenes. Much of those would have to be cut, as levity
had little place in an exegesis of a mass murderer and his organisation.

And my previous conclusions about al-Qaida were simply wrong. In the old
version of the book I had written: "In past years the likelihood that a US
citizen will die at the hands of a terrorist has actually receded. An
American... is more likely to be killed by a dog, or a bolt of lightning,
than by an act of terrorism." Get me Rewrite!


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Ends

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