*Hamas' gain, Fatah's loss*
*Friday - *Jun 20,2008
http://blogs.jta.org/telegraph/2008/06/20/491/hamas-gain-fatahs-loss/

Israel's new cease-fire agreement with Hamas may be good news in Sderot and
Gaza City, but it's bad news for the Palestinian Authority leadership in
Ramallah.

As if Fatah's routing by Hamas in elections in January 2006 and in a violent
coup in June 2007 weren't enough, now Israel is signing agreements with
Hamas while the Fatah-led  Palestinian Authority is, once again, sidelined.
And it doesn't help that P.A. President Mahmoud Abbas is virtually ignored
while Bashar Assad's Syria gets all the attention in Israeli-Arab peace
talks (this week, the possibility of Lebanon-Israel talks even made
headlines).

On Thursday night, Fatah's Kadura Fares talked to Israel's Channel 2 TV
about it, and on Friday Ha'aretz carried a column by Akiva Eldar on the
subject. If Israel wants to strengthen the hands of the moderate Palestinian
leaders, awarding a victory to Hamas extremists and Hamas leader Ismail
Haniyeh (the deposed P.A. prime minister) is not the way to go, the argument
goes. Eldar writes:

Palestinian pollster Dr. Khalil Shikaki said this week at a conference in
Jerusalem that if elections had been held on the day the cease-fire
agreement was finalized, Hamas would have won majority support in both the
Gaza Strip and the West Bank. Shikaki saw the cease-fire agreement as the
reason for this...

For many months, Fatah mocked Hamas by arguing that the Qassam rockets,
which Abu Mazen called "toys," had no effect on Israel and were causing the
people of Gaza  unnecessary suffering. And here we discover that the "toys"
are a strategic weapon. Instead of conducting the negotiations through Abu
Mazen and letting him reap the accomplishment, or at least control the
border crossings, Israel has turned Haniyeh into the hero of the hour. And
that is not the end. Now that Hamas has shown that you can get recognition
from Israel without recognizing it yourself, Haniyeh will free the prisoners
that Fatah was unable to free; perhaps even their leader,
Marwan Barghouti.

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