Famine in Somalia: It’s the Politics…stupid – By Richard Dowden

July 28, 2011
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“Here we go again”. These words should have been heard in November
last year. Not since. That’s when the drought early warning lights
flashed in Eastern Africa. No one should be saying it now. But now we
are seeing pictures of starving Somali babies – pictures that we were
promised we would never see again.

The aid agencies are out with their begging bowls as if this had never
happened before. To be fair, some of the best have been issuing alerts
for some time based on the early warning systems which measure
rainfall and food prices. They were put in place after the Ethiopian
famine of 1984. The alarm sounded in 1999, 2002, 2005 and 2008 and
each time the response arrived, but often late.

Drought can cause food shortages and price rises. But drought does not
automatically mean famine. Famine is cause by politics – when war or
governments prevent people moving or trading. And politics in this
region are deadly and remain deadlocked. If we want to stop seeing
starving Somali babies on our TV screens our governments will have to
engage with al-Shabaab. America refuses to do that because it means
abandoning the present Somali ‘government’. This is a powerless
collection of individuals who live mostly in Nairobi, control less
than a square mile of Somali territory, and has achieved nothing.

The rest of the world must deal with Somalia as it is – a fractious
society and a fractured state. Somalis will probably never agree on a
single leader, a single party, or a single government. Since 1991,
attempts to create a national government from the outside have failed
again and again. Let the pieces of Somalia fall where they will, and
engage with them locally, generously and pragmatically.

There are shortages but no famine in the Ethiopian Highlands,
Somaliland, or in Puntland, the north eastern part of Somalia. That is
because people are able to move around and the governments ensure
trade continues and food reaches those who need it. Famine seems to
have only occurred in Southern Somalia where a failed government
pretends to rule but al-Shabaab actually controls. Kenya compounds the
problem by refusing to let people cross into northern Kenya.

But what is happening in the Ogaden, the Ethiopian lowlands? Almost
entirely populated by Somalis, it has been fenced off and closed to
outsiders for years because Ethiopia fears it might be infiltrated by
anti-Ethiopian insurgents. Atrocities by Ethiopian troops are reported
but cannot be verified. If the rest of the region is suffering, the
closed Ogaden may be hiding an even larger disaster.

The Corrupt Bookseller of Juba

I am much more shocked to learn of Macmillan’s corruption than that of
British Aerospace. One has the air of a venerable old bookseller
involved in global education, the other is an arms manufacturer which
profits from war. Both have admitted to paying millions in bribes to
gain contracts in Africa. No doubt they called them ‘facilitation
fees’ or some such euphemism. But Macmillan’s scam was in
pre-independent South Sudan. It is somehow particularly distasteful to
see a British company spreading its corruption in a country not yet
born. It also means that any British minister, company or NGO which
tries to lecture Africa on corruption can now be rightly told:
“Physician, heal thyself!”

Little Britain drives away its friends

If you wanted to set up an organisation to alienate as many of
Britain’s friends in the world as you could, you could not do better
than the UK Border Agency, the Home Office organisation which controls
visas to Britain. We hear so many horror stories at RAS that I have
come to believe that the UK Border Agency’s secret mission is to wreck
all relations between Britain and Africa. Here’s their latest effort:
The Africa Educational Trust, a small but smart organisation that
delivers education to parts of Africa that are in difficulties, is
trying to bring over a student from South Sudan to start post graduate
studies at Warwick University in September.  He has been accepted and
he has a full scholarship – all costs covered by AET from a programme
paid for by South Sudan Government with British aid.

But he has a Canadian passport. He cannot apply for a visa in South
Sudan so he went to Nairobi. There the Border Agency says he has to go
to Canada to get a visa. Naturally he went to the Canadian Embassy in
Nairobi but was told there was nothing they could do. So he went back
to Juba and asked the UK office – not yet an embassy then. He was told
he has to fly to Canada and apply there. So – on our taxes – he will
have to fly from Juba to Nairobi to Heathrow to Ottawa, wait for his
visa to be granted, then come back through Heathrow to Nairobi and get
home to South Sudan. Then in September he will fly to Heathrow and
actually be allowed to enter the country. Now I call that a really
good use of British aid.

Richard Dowden is Director of the Royal African Society

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