Bear grip continues on Dalal Street, Sensex to test key support levels

The bear grip on Dalal Street is likely to continue on Wednesday, as
the indices across the world are experiencing massive selling led by
the triggered by financial crisis in US and Europe. The Sensex is
likely to find support at 11,230.00, if this support is broken the
next support will be at 10,086.00, the level we have seen in July
2006.

U.S. stocks on Tuesday declined for a fifth session straight,
prolonging a sharp sell-off that had the S&P 500 ending at a five-year
low, as investors found little respite in the Federal Reserve's latest
steps to ease frozen credit markets. But the blue-chip index  spent
the bulk of the session in triple-digit losses and ended down 508.39
points, or 5.1%, at 9,447.11.

Asian markets tumbled Wednesday, with financials such as Mitsubishi
UFJ Financial Group sliding after steep losses on Wall Street
overnight. Toyota Motor Corp. slumped on a newspaper report that the
automobile giant was expected to post a 40% drop in operating profit,
while resource stocks such as BHP Billiton shrank on concerns global
demand for commodities could weaken. The Japanese benchmark Nikkei
dropped by more than 4 percent in early trading.

As slump in equities around the globe weighed on the price of crude
oil this morning. Crude oil for November delivery fell 82 cents, or
0.9 percent, to $89.24 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Expect some more selling especially in the tech
sector, followed by Realty and commodity stocks. Dismal results by
Alcoa might have an adverse impact on Aluminum stocks like Nalco and
Hindalco. Strelite Ind will be under pressure as well, as the selling
spree continues in metals stocks across the globe.

SEBI's decision to relax the curbs on P-notes and RBI's decision to
cut the CRR rate are good news for the liquidity markets, but we
believe they came in at a point of time where investors have lost
confidence in the equity markets. Good move but too late to contain
the damage.

We still remain cautious about the current environment in the market
and advice investors against fresh investments in the equity markets.
It is a great idea to wait until things settle down and plan the next
step accordingly.

Market Close Box:
BSE Sensex 11695.24 -106.46
NSE Nifty 3606.60 4.25
USD Rs.48.01
Oil Nymex $90.06

B.Karthick
Research Analyst.
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