Stocks likely to pull back after a slide on Friday

Stocks are likely to pull back on Monday morning as the selling on
Friday looks over done and on some bottom fishing by investors on the
side lines. Expect the Sensex to pull back nearly 2 to 3 percent in
toady's trade after a 11 percent drop on Friday.

Asian indices are likely to trade lower on opening bell as concern
deepened that the financial crisis is dragging the global economy into
recession. US stocks are likely to open higher tomorrow, as the Fed is
likely to cut the rate in their meeting later this week.

Today is a big day for the banking sector as two of the countries
largest banks SBI and ICICI Bank Ltd are on the deck to report
earnings today. The Q2 results announced to date are mixed with more
than 60 percent of the companies that have reported earnings have
registered a growth in profits YOY this quarter. This is low when
compared to the growth rate in the previous year. Even though we have
seen a drop in corporate earnings, one should really look at the
valuations at which these companies are trading.

>From a sectoral point of view, we like metals space now as the stocks
in this sector have been beaten down substantially. For instance, the
stocks of Tata Steel has declined by nearly 80 percent from its highs.
Hindalco, NALCO and SAIL look attractive at the current valuations as
the market has discounted the impact of falling commodity prices on
the earnings of these firms.

Most of the global markets which have fallen nearly 10 percent on
Friday are likely to recover as stocks in US have fallen less than
feared and the fall was so steep in Dalal Street that we might have
reached a stage where most of the investors finally capitulated. It
looks like the market has thrown in the towel and it is a great
opportunity for investors in Cash to accumulate stocks through out the
fall.

Market Close Box:
BSE Sensex 8701.07 -1070.63
NSE Nifty 2584.00 -359.15
USD Rs.49.95
Oil Nymex $64.15

B.Karthick
Research Analyst.




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