New Delhi/New York, Oct 30: Wednesday's interest rate cut in the US has 
spa-rked speculations that a number of major econom-ies across the world, 
including the United States, Japan, England and Australia, are moving towards a 
zero-per cent regime, but bankers differ about India.

The rates have not been below the current level of one per cent in the US in 
the past five decades, but Japan had kept a zero-per cent rate policy for most 
of the time since 1999 till March 2006.

The US Federal Reserve, on Wednesday cut its rate by 50 basis points to one per 
cent, while the Bank of Japan is meeting on Friday to review its rate. There 
are expectations for a cut in Japan's rate from its existing level of 0.5 per 
cent - which is already the lowest for any industrialised economy in the world.

While expectations are building up for further rate cut in India as well, 
bankers here believe that a zero-level rate does not seem likely even remotely.

"That (zero per cent interest rate) looks very difficult in India. Given the 
liquidity situation and macroeconomic factors, interest rate below one per cent 
seems a highly unlikely proposition," the UCO Bank chairman and managing 
director, Mr S.K. Goel, said.

But, it is not the case with the US and Japan, as well as some other economies 
where a zero-interest rate is being talked as quite a possibility in the 
current economic scenario when borrowers are hard to find and liquidity is not 
enough.

Under a zero interest rate policy, which is also known as Quantitative Monetary 
Easing Policy, a central bank uses money supply, rather than interest rate as a 
key monetary easing tool.

However, a zero ben-chmark rate does not guarantee nil interest cost for 
consumers or corporate bo-rrowers. It applies only to banks parking their funds 
with the apex bank and borrowing from each other. The expectations for a zero 
rate are getting a boost from the fact that central banks across the world are 
nowadays taking concerted efforts to cut their benchmark rate in a bid to fight 
the global credit crisis.

At least a dozen central banks across the world have slashed their rates to 
sub-five per cent level in the past few days. - PTI



http://www.asianage.com/presentation/leftnavigation/news/business/world-closer-to-zero-rate.aspx
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