Sensex to play catch up to the high flying emerging markets

Dalal Street looks to bounce back on Friday, as emerging markets
pulled back in a big way when the markets in Mumbai were closed for
Diwali. So expect a catch up from stocks in Mumbai. The Sensex is
likely to see a 500 point rally in the morning as money on the
sidelines might flow in to the markets.

U.S. stocks rallied Thursday, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average
back above the 9,000 level, after the government said the economy
shrank less than forecast in the third quarter. The Dow gained 189
points or 2.11 percent, where as the Nasdaq gained 2.49 percent to end
the day with modest gains.

Asian stocks are pointing a slightly lower open on Friday. Japanese
stocks fell for the first time in four days after companies cut profit
forecasts on the rising yen and slowing demand, and as investors
viewed recent gains as excessive.

Meanwhile on the domestic front,India's annual inflation rate eased to
nearly a 5 month low giving the Reserve Bank of India  room to cut
rates further to shore up growth.Unitech is again made the headlines
as the company sold a majority stake in its telecom arm to Norway
based telecom giant Telenor for Rs 6,120 crore to meet cash crunch in
its domestic business.

Investors are advised to stay away from speculative stocks and
concentrate on the blue chips and play for the long term. It is not
advisable to day trade as we might witness huge volatility today.

The Sensex has a technical resistance of 9270.00 on the upside, if the
market manages to close above this level, the next stop in this
journey is 9850.00 which is a bug hurdle to surpass for the market. So
investors who believe in technicals should wait for the market to
surpass the 9850 level to take any medium term positions. Not a great
day to pick up stocks early in the day, as there will be a gap up
open.

Market Close Box:
BSE Sensex 9044.51 36.43
NSE Nifty 2697.05 12.45
USD Rs.49.77
Oil Nymex $65.08

B.Karthick
Research Analyst.
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