Export target will fall short by $40 bn, warns industry


     
     
                          : 
     
     
     
      NEW DELHI: Exports are likely to fall short of the targeted $200 billion 
in 2008-09 by about 20 per cent, says a report by an industry lobby.  


      According to the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India 
(Assocham), seven key export segments - textiles, apparel, gems and jewellery, 
diamonds, brassware, handicraft and leather - are reeling under recessionary 
trends, which will affect the overall exports figures. 

      These sectors put together constitute the highest volumes in India's 
total exports to economies such as the US, the European Union and ASEAN 
countries. 

      "Naturally, these sectors will not be able to generate their previous 
export momentum and Assocham anticipates a minimum of $40 billion exports 
shortfall for current fiscal," the report said. 

      India's foreign trade policy for the current fiscal has fixed export 
targets for 2008-09 at $200 billion. 

      As the exports are to high-value markets, Assocham has felt pessimistic 
about the export scenario. 

      Additionally, the report said, Indian exports will also be hit in 2008-09 
by rising ocean freight rates, weakening rupee-dollar exchange rate, and 
deepening recession in the US and Europe. 

      Other factors that have eroded competitiveness of Indian exports are 
rising input costs and the poor power and infrastructure that has hit the 
manufacturing sector, the report says. 

      India lags behind in logistics, and as a result, the transaction cost of 
exports has risen by about 20 per cent, the report says quoting "latest 
estimates". 

      All these factors have also rendered Indian exports non-competitive as 
India is facing stiff competition not only from China, but also neighbours like 
Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Bhutan. 

      As a result, India's traditional exports have suffered and threatens to 
continue until exporters adopt modern technology, concludes the Assocham 
analysis. 

      The report, however, adds that exports that would have reasonably good in 
pharmaceutical and chemicals, heavy engineering, and metal and marine products, 
besides fast moving consumer goods. 

      These sectors continue to command demand not only in the domestic market 
but also in the Middle East, Sotuh-East Asia and Africa.  

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Export_target_will_fall_short_by_40_bn_warns_industry/articleshow/3692108.cms
 "Some cause happiness wherever they go; others whenever they go."
 - Oscar Wilde 








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