Ranju Sarkar and Ishita Ayan Dutt in Mumbai, Kolkata

Prices of many commodities have come down by 50-60 per cent over the past few 
months, but most Indian companies have not been able to take advantage of the 
same. 


That's because people are sitting with a lot of stocks at old prices, which 
includes raw material and work-in-progress. Till the time these stocks are 
exhausted, the benefit won't start reflecting in the financial statements, feel 
experts.


"When commodity prices were high, many manufacturers got into agreements for 
three-to-six months, and so will have to keep buying at those rates for the 
period," said Probal Banerji, group chief financial officer, Hinduja Group.


Take steel, for instance. While international prices have fallen sharply for 
many grades of steel, domestic producers have not reduced prices to that 
extent, Banerji said. "It will take six to nine months before the benefits 
start kicking in," he added.


In normal course, one expects a drop in raw material prices to provide relief 
to manufacturers. The liquidity crunch and the demand slowdown have meant lower 
offtake from buyers, who are deferring their purchases in view of falling 
prices. "Working capital has dried up, banks are not lending and the cost of 
credit has gone up. The rupee has moved up while commodity prices crashed," 
said Arvind Parakh, director for strategy and business development, Jindal 
Stainless [Get Quote].


"Companies are holding inventories. Prices have crashed too fast for companies 
to react and plan. They are taking a hit on raw materials," said Parakh. Most 
export orders have been deferred as demand slowed down in the West.


Experts say that inventories have been piling up and it's only now that 
companies are starting to reduce production. The steel industry typically 
carries an inventory level of one million tonnes of steel or seven days stock. 
This has now increased to three weeks, said Seshagiri Rao, director finance, 
JSW Steel [Get Quote]. 


When commodity prices were going up, traders took positions in them expecting 
the rates to further increase. Today, many of these traders are liquidating 
their stocks, leading to distress deals. "There was an inventory build-up, 
which is now coming down," said Arun Karambelkar, executive vice president, 
procurement, HCC.  


Car-makers and auto part-makers say the price of auto-grade steel has not 
fallen, but they will benefit from fall in prices of aluminium and copper. But 
component-makers say the rupee's depreciation is negating the gain. "The recent 
hike was to offset the rising input costs since April," said a Maruti [Get 
Quote] official.

http://www.rediff.com/money/2008/nov/11india-inc-unable-to-cash-in-on-lower-prices.htm

When prosperity comes, do not use all of it. 








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