NMDC issue to get poor response: Analysts

NEW DELHI: The over $2-billion follow-on public issue from the state-
run NMDC, which opens tomorrow, could be a showdown of the
government's stake Correction offers opportunities |
sale programme once again, as the issue is likely to draw muted
response from investors due to high issue price, according to
analysts.

The government has fixed a price band of Rs 300-350 per share for the
follow on public offer (FPO) of the country's largest miner, which
represents a discount of 13-25 per cent over yesterday's closing price
of Rs 400.

"The issue looks expensive compared to its global peers. Expect a
lukewarm response from investors and state-run entities would again
come to the rescue to make the issue log subscription," says SMC
Capitals head of equity Jagannadham Thunuguntla.

The government would be diluting 33 crore shares or 8.38 per cent
stake through the issue. If fully subscribed at the upper end of the
price band, the government would mop up Rs 11,700 crore from the
market.


→ Govt gives discount of 13-25% on NMDC FPO
 → NMDC plunges 9% on BSE ahead of FPO
 → Investors should wait for price discovery in NMDC post FPO: SPA
Sec
 → NMDC plunges 9% on BSE ahead of FPO
 → NMDC to diversify into new businesses
 → NMDC issue looks positive: Motilal Oswal


"The NMDC issue is likely to see a muted response and can prove to be
a third consecutive disaster of the selloff programme. Pricing is
aggressive and retail investors may show some interest as there is an
additional 5 per cent discount for them," Kejriwal Research and
Investment Services head Arun Kejriwal said.

The marketmen had earlier predicted that the NMDC issue if priced at a
discount of 30 per cent over the current market price could see good
investor response.

State-run financial institutions--LIC MF and SBI MF brought a major
chunk of the shares-- had pitched in to make the public offers of NTPC
and REC successful last month. The two FPO had followed the French
auction route for sale.

"This time there is no ambiguity regarding the French auction route.
If the issue remains undersubscribed that will be entirely due to the
aggressive pricing," Thunuguntla said.

The NTPC share sale was subscribed only 1.2 times which analysts say
was mainly because of offer price of Rs 201 was barely competitive
when compared to the prevailing market price of Rs 207. Also LIC MF
and SBI MF brought a major chunk of shares.

Besides, the Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) issue was
subscribed over three times. Although retail demand was muted, a host
of foreign investors flocked the counter.

Shares of NMDC closed 6.23 per cent down at Rs 375.65 on th BSE
today.

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