Cement Stocks Outlook for the week (28.05.2012 - 01.06.2012)

Stocks of major cement companies are seen trading range-bound next
week amid lack of any sector-specific triggers. Investors will wait
for monthly despatch data on Friday to take further view on the
sector. There may be a negative bias in anticipation of price cuts by
cement companies in the coming week as monsoon sets in. Construction
activity in the country typically halts during the rainy season.
Prices in north have declined by 5-20 rupees per (50-kg) bag led by
subdued demand on account of disruption in the supply of construction
materials and shortage of labour. This is rather unusual of May as
usually May prices are hiked to exit at better rates so that the
seasonal decline in monsoon prices are favourable to industry. Cement
makers are also likely to get hit due to a sand mining ban by Punjab
and Haryana from Apr 1. Post the ban supply for basic materials have
come under pressure with costs of these materials (sand, gravel)
escalating to almost thrice the prices seen in February.

Street is also likely to keep a close eye on the government's decision
on fuel pricing. A rise in prices of diesel is viewed as negative for
the sector, as it will increase the transportation cost for cement
companies. Additionally, stocks of cement makers are likely to remain
under pressure on expectations that the Competition Commission of
India, which is investigating allegations of price rigging by
companies, may announce its order soon. As such, stocks of cement
companies have taken a beating.

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