IT Stocks Outlook for the week (04.06.2012-08.06.2012)

Stocks of major information technology companies are likely to trade
rangebound next week, and may take cues from the broad market amid lack of
any sector-specific cues. The bias may, however, remain negative next week
as global demand for information technology services remains under
pressure. companies are banking on demand revival in the second half of the
current financial year, failing which they may not meet their earnings
guidance.

Investors we met this month on our US and Asia trips appeared to lack
conviction about either buying or selling Indian IT services stocks. They
seemed worried that there could be more downside to demand despite fallen
expectations. Most sector majors, except Tata Consultancy Services, have
already hinted at tepid growth for 2012-13 (Apr-Mar). While industry body
NASSCOM expects the sector to grow 11-14%, sector bellwether Infosys has
guided for 8-10% growth. TCS is the only company to have confidently said
it will beat industry growth.

Investors are likely to eye the movement of rupee against the dollar. The
sharp depreciation of the Indian currency against the greenback has lifted
near- term outlook for local IT companies. Software exporters are likely to
see a strong benefit from the weakness in rupee. Most large Indian IT
companies get nearly 70% of their revenue from the US

 By RUPEE DESK  [email protected]

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